What won't happen in 2012?

ABI Research
22 Dec 2011

LTE, Wimax, TD-LTE, and VoLTE

  • LTE will NOT be the leading air interface protocol for mobile consumer devices in 2012
  • VoLTE will NOT take off.
  • TD-LTE will NOT take hold in the Chinese and Indian markets in 2012

Smartphones, mobile devices, and tablets

  • Things are heating up between handset manufacturers in India. NOT all low-cost handset manufacturers will survive the Indian mobile market melee
  • There will NOT be “smashproof” smartphones in 2012
  • Despite low-cost Android smartphones and the resurgence of Windows, Apple will still hold the upper hand in carrier deals
  • RIM will NOT get out of the tablet business in 2012
  • Media tablets will NOT be a mass-market solution for 2012 despite a banner year in 2011

Mobile services, apps, and carriers

  • The world will NOT rely on mobile phones for internet access in 2012 (or ever)
  • HTML5 will NOT win the day in mobile apps

Location, advertising, and indoor location

  • Location-based advertising will continue to play second fiddle to rich media in 2012
  • Indoor location will NOT become commonplace in 2012
  • Wii U will NOT replicate the magic of the original Wii and Microsoft will NOT release the next Xbox (there won’t be a Sony PS4, either)
  • 2012 will NOT be the year that 3D takes over the world
  • In 2012, VoD services will continue to dominate OTT services, NOT OTT streaming or the virtual cable operator concept
  • The Indian fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) market will NOT be significant in 2012

M2M, home automation systems, smart cities, and wireless sensor networks

  • With the housing market still unsteady, the newbuild home automation market will NOT resume leadership over the retrofit market in 2012
  • Google’s new WSN protocol for home automation will NOT gain traction in 2012
  • Despite the excitement over the prospect of these smart city projects, ABI Research believes that smart city operating systems will NOT revolutionize cities in 2012
  • Smart grids standardization work will NOT be completed in 2012

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