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UFC Fight Night 199 – Derrick Lewis vs. Chris Daukaus – Fight Analysis & Predictions

Saba Sozashvili
18 Dec 2021

The Last event of 2021 will be held at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The headlining of the event will be two big bad boys clash between former title challenger Derrick Lewis and newly raised contender Chris Bauhaus.

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Derrick Lewis vs. Chris Daukaus
Derrick Lewis vs. Chris Daukaus

Derrick Lewis is two times title challenger. He had his first-ever opportunity to earn the UFC gold against the former double champion, Daniel Cormier, but he failed in the attempt when DC managed to earn another submission victory over him. However, after three years, he earned another title. He shared the octagon with Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight title fight, but the French fighter managed to earn TKO victory, and Lewis failed once again. However, Lewis is still one of the most dangerous heavyweight division fighters; before suffering a loss in the second title fight, he was on four fight-winning streaks. He defeated names like Curtis Blaydes, who is famous for his massive wrestling skills. Also, Lewis is the one who managed and earned KO victory against one of the most dangerous strikers Alexander Volkov in his prime back in 2018. Lewis defeated current heavyweight king Francis Ngannou via a split decision in 2018, which is considered one of the most boring fights, but victory against Ngannou is still a huge achievement. "The Black Beast" has been a member of the UFC since 2014 and has witnessed the octagon from inside 22 times already.

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32 years old fighter Chris Daukaus is a true finisher. 11 out of his 12 victories are via KO and only 1 via decision. In the UFC, he held 4 fights and earned 4 KO or TKO victories. In 2021, he defeated legends like Alexey Oleynik and Shamil Abdurakhimov. he is an amazing striker with massive bombs, but he is also a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Well. We have not seen any submission from him, but his brother (from the same club) is also a black belt and has massive jiu-jitsu skills, which means that Chris should have an amazing ground game, too.

Chris is opening this bout as the favorite with the odd around 1.7; meanwhile, "The Black Beast" has the odd 2.2. From my point of view, Derrick Lewis will earn another KO victory in this bout. First of all, I think this because Lewis is way more experienced, and he has fought many tough opponents during his MMA career. Also, Chris has 2 KOs and 1 submission loss during his career. His last loss was in 2019, which is the really close past. From my point of view, the reach advantage, the experience of these fighters, and the fighter's abilities tell me that Derrick should earn the victory against him.

Gane is just on another level in striking, so losing against him does not mean that Derrick is bad; in addition to that, Derrick has 12 KO victories in the UFC, which says a lot. The odds are not finalized yet, but the early victory of Lewis should have a coefficient of 2.5.

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