Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction: The game which determines where the world series will begin

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners: Prediction for the match on October 21, 2025

The Toronto Blue Jays bounced back from a 3-2 series deficit with a 6-2 win over the Seattle Mariners in Game 6 of the American League Championship Series at Rogers Centre on Sunday. Addison Barger hit a two-run homer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. added a solo shot, and rookie Trey Yesavage pitched 5.2 innings, giving up two runs and striking out seven. Game 7 on Monday will feature Shane Bieber against George Kirby. The winner will advance to the World Series to face the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Toronto Blue Jays: Forms and Statistics

There are a lot of cliches going around as the Blue Jays try to make it deeper into baseball's playoffs. Trey Yesavage will have a lot to do with what happens in Game 6 on Sunday night. He was as calm when reporters asked him questions on Saturday as he has been every time he has pitched. If you lose on Sunday or in Monday's winner-take-all Game 7, people will only second-guess you more. The Mariners say they feel at home at the Rogers Centre, and Toronto's comfort level has been well-documented, even though they lost the first two games of the series at home.

Toronto Blue Jays: Team News

George Springer got the ALCS off to a great start by hitting the first pitch thrown by Seattle deep. This was one of two hits the Jays would get in a 3-1 loss. Springer left the game in the fifth inning on Friday after taking a pitch off his right knee. The X-rays didn't show anything. The flames will eventually go out, and depending on how the next few days go for the Blue Jays, Friday's Seattle meltdown may be forgiven, if not forgotten, as one of the most gut-wrenching moments in recent franchise history. But right now, manager John Schneider's choice to use Brendon Little in what turned out to be a disastrous eighth inning of a compelling and missed opportunity Game 5 is a flashpoint moment in this interesting ALCS.

Seattle Mariners: Form and Statistics

Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with 60 home runs and 125 RBIs. His home run total is the highest in the league, and his RBIs rank third. Raleigh has hit safely in six straight games. Over his last 10 games, he is batting .333 with three doubles, three home runs, six walks, and eight RBIs.

Seattle Mariners: Team News

Seattle Mariners: Form and Statistics

Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with 60 home runs and 125 RBIs. His home run total is the highest in the league, and his RBIs rank third. Raleigh has hit safely in six straight games. Over his last 10 games, he is batting .333 with three doubles, three home runs, six walks, and eight RBIs.

Seattle Mariners: Team News

Julio Rodriguez has 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs, and 44 walks. He is batting .267. Rodriguez ranks 17th in MLB for home runs and 20th in RBIs. Josh Naylor has the highest batting average on the team at .295. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .228 with 28 doubles, 49 home runs, and 46 walks.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips & Odds

• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 87 games this season, winning 52 of them (59.8%). When favored by -164 or more, they have a strong 23-5 record, winning 82.1% of those games. Based on the moneyline, they have a 62.1% chance to win this game.
• The Mariners have been underdogs in 50 games, winning 25 of them (50%). When underdogs by +138 or worse, they are 4-4 this season. Their implied probability of winning this game is 42%, according to the moneyline.
• In the last 10 games, the Blue Jays were favorites in six and won five of them. The Mariners have been underdogs in three of their last 10 games, winning two of those.
• In games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have hit the over five times in the last 10. The Mariners have also covered the spread five times in those 10 games.
• The Blue Jays and their opponents have gone over the run total five times in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays’ ATS record in that stretch is 7-3.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Match Prediction 21th October 2025

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Match Prediction 21th October 2025

Gausman isn't in the best shape to pitch after seven days of rest. But the experienced righty had a good 2.81 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in the second half. When he started after 6 or more days of rest during the regular season, he had a 2.55 ERA. ESPN says that Gausman has given up a .688 OPS to Seattle batters this year. This is Miller's second time starting in the playoffs. He had a 5.62 ERA after the All-Star break. On May 11, he pitched against Toronto and gave up 7 runs in 5 innings. Seattle probably has the better bullpen, but they have had a couple of days less rest going into this series. The Mariners have lost 12 of their last 16 games on the road east of the Mississippi.

Our match prediction is Over 7.5 runs with odds at 1.90 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is +1.5 Handicap Seattle Mariners with odds at 1.60 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final match prediction is a money line win for the Toronto Blue Jays with odds at 1.76 on the Betway bookmaker.