Hokori vs beastcoast Prediction: Experience trumps youth in Peruvian derby

The playoff stage of The International 2022 is set to begin on Thursday, 20 October, and is already on stage in Singapore. South American teams Hokori and beastcoast will face each other in the first BO1 match of the lower bracket on the way out of the tournament.

The International 2022 is the year's main event in the cybersports discipline of Dota 2. Set to take place in Singapore from October 15-30, 2022, the international event will pit this year's top 20 teams against each other. The eleventh edition of the tournament will have a prize pool of more than $14 million.

Hokori: The beautiful tale comes to an end

It is worth praising the Hokori squad for such a beautiful group stage of their first The International. Few expected the Peruvians to get off to such a flying start and make the playoffs at all. But this team was even close to reaching the decisive part of the tournament from the top flight. At the end of the group stage, the Peruvians lost only two series - to Evil Geniuses and Team Liquid, the teams who were the leaders of the Group A table.

Many people fell in love with the Hokori players, their crazy non-stop Peruvian brawls, their comebacks, and their lack of fear in games against PSG.LGD, OG, RNG, etc., surprised everyone. But let's be honest, in a game with beastcoast, the surprise factor will not be there. The teams and the players know each other. Furthermore, the young talents of Peruvian and Brazilian Dota may suffer stiffness, anxiety, and fear when they enter the stage. At the same time, the experienced players of beastcoast feel like fish in water in this atmosphere, being one of the most experienced teams in such events.

It should be understood that this Peruvian team is only in its third year and clearly has no big wins. This DPC cycle completes the team with mixed success. In all three rounds of the regional DPC league, the Hokori team has played in the elite. In winter, the players settled for sixth place. In spring, they climbed to third place and were close to qualifying for the majors, and in summer, they finished in last place and dropped out of the elite, but that's not what matters now...

The team strengthened in July with two replacements. Lumière, who played for Infinity and Infamous this year, came in for the first position. It is noteworthy that the Peruvian played for Hokori in 2020 and started the winning streak for that team and has now returned to help the team qualify for The International for the first time. The position four is taken by Brazilian player Thiolicor, who played in the Peruvian team from February to June. After failing in the regional league, he was kicked out and not having found a decent replacement - he was called up again before the regional qualifications for the TI11.

The big success for Hokori was winning the regional qualification, and the Peruvian team managed to play in season 12 of the BTS tournament in Singapore. Still, already in the Asian region and among the teams from Southeast Asia, the Peruvians finished in third place.

beastcoast: It's time to surprise

While the beastcoast players at this The International 2022 are repeating the path, they took at the last major of the season, the PGL Arlington Major 2022. Namely, they somehow make it out of the group and start to work a Peruvian miracle in the lower bracket. It should be understood that beastcoast is an extremely experienced team, so their full strength should show itself in the playoffs.

Yes, El Chacha and his team like to shoot in any game, but not in the first game on the stage of the main tournament of the year, and also against a well-known young Peruvian team. Remarkably, in the last two majors in 2022, the beastcoast team finished 5th-6th, which the Peruvians also plan to repeat at TI11!

The beastcoast team has continued to play with the same squad since 2019, a change not even provoked by poor play at TI10, although they were the best team in the region at that tournament, getting at least into the playoff stage. Looking at all the teams in South America, it's hard to imagine who, apart from Thunder Awaken, can match beastcoast when they are motivated and not trying to experiment with draft picks. So this squad should wrap up the beautiful story of the Hokori debutants.

History of head-to-head encounters

Hokori is a young team, and in their two years of existence, they have played beastcoast six times. Five victories have gone to the experienced beastcoast, and one encounter ended in a 1-1 draw. In 2022, Hokori faced a formidable opponent on three occasions but lost each time by a score of 1-2. 

Expert Betting Tips

beastcoast will win the match for 1.75.

The beastcoast team will win the match with a handicap (-5.5) frags for 2.19.

The Total frags in the match will be Over 54.5 for 1.83.

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