Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman: Prediction for the Match on November 2, 2025

Atlético Independiente
Atlético Independiente
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
02 Nov 2025 01:00
Atletico Tucuman
Atletico Tucuman
Torneo Betano Clausura - Round 14
Stadium Libertadores de América
02.11.2025, 01:00
Eduardo Machado
01 Nov 2025
19:22
All time statistics:
412
318
4
56.13%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,03
Bet Type First half Draw
Bonus 100 EUR
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Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction for the Match on November 2 2025

Independiente come in feeling strong after smashing Platense 3–0, whereasAtlético Tucumán show up still stung by a tough loss at home to San Lorenzo. Look for the home side to control pace and tighten space; meanwhile, Tucumán will aim to drag things out, rely on physical battles, then strike fast whenchances pop up or from dead-ball moments.

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El Rojo beat Platense 3–0, a result that really shows what happened - their xG hit2.24 versus just 0.68, they kept the ball nearly six out of ten times, fired off sixattempts on frame including four clear ones, while the away side managed onlyone shot worth noting . This lines up with how they play at home: around 1.38 goals scored and half a goal let in per match, shutouts in about two-thirds oftheir games there, plus loads of matches ending under 2.5 total goals (69% at home, even higher when counting all games), thanks to tight shape after losingpossession and steady control through midfield . One thing though - despitetossing up 12 shots each time they host, they’ve been turning just 11% intoscores, meaning luck hasn’t fully clicked yet, so waiting for breaks still matters .

After the Platense match settled things at the back, sticking with a 4-2-3-1 makes sense - this setup guards the center while letting the wide players pushforward. Rodrigo Rey takes the spot behind the back line made up of Luciano Godoy, Kevin Lomonaco, Sergio Valdez, and Felipe Zabala - they’ve gotenough pace to keep a mid-block and cover ground when needed. Federico Loyola drops deep as the anchor, while Rodrigo Fernández steps into a linkingrole, building plays that send Santiago Montiel (on the right) and Matías Abaldo(left) darting into half-spaces, Lautaro Cabral drifting in as the playmaker behindthe striker. Up front, Ignacio Pussetto leads the charge, pressing center-backs and making near-post runs. Watch how often Montiel cuts inside, opening spacefor Godoy to push up and deliver crosses from wide.

Independiente starting lineup (4-3-3)

Rey – Godoy, Lomonaco, Valdez, Zabala – Loyola, Rodrigo Fernandez, Cabral – Montiel, Pussetto, Abaldo

Out: Paredes, Valenzuela, Vera ( injured)

Head coach: G. Quinteros

Tucumán fell 1–2 to San Lorenzo even with 57% ball control and four attempts on goal - but gave up higher-quality chances (xG 1.03 vs 1.97) and got beaten inside the area. The gap between playing at home or away still shows clearly: they average 1.07 goals scored and allow 1.24 per game overall, yet on the roadthose shift to only 0.50 scored and 1.57 conceded, manage shutouts just 7% ofthe time, fail to score in 57% of away outings; Under 2.5 lands in 71% of theirmatches away from home.

The Decano ought to stick with a 4-4-2 built to handle long spells underpressure while dashing diagonal passes into open lanes. Marco Mansilla guards net, shielded by Lucas Martínez, Cristian Ferreira Namandú, Matías Ortiz, plus Marcelo Brizuela. Kevin López along with Kevin Ortiz make a toughmidfield duo, while Adrián Sánchez and Ignacio Galván operate as wide players who contribute both ways. Up top, Mateo Bajamich pairs up with Leandro Díaz- Bajamich drifts deep to connect play and burst into gaps, Díaz holds thebackline and hunts aerial balls. Look for early switches to Díaz and follow-upruns from Sánchez to challenge Independiente’s defense.

Atl. Tucuman starting lineup (4-4-2)

Mansilla – Martinez, Namandu, Ortiz, Brizuela – Sánchez, Ortiz, Lopez, Galvan – Diaz, Bajamich

Out: Brandan, Infante, Tesuri ( injured), Lamendola (yellow cards)

Head coach: L. Pusineri

The last five games show a fair picture where playing at home helps: Tucumán took down Independiente 2–0 in May, yet El Rojo claimed a 2–1 win at their placeby December 2024 and managed a 1–1 draw at home come March 2024; Independiente also grabbed an away victory (2–1) back in November 2023. Betting odds favor the home side this time around in the 1X2 market. Looking further back, Tucumán holds a slight lead overall (10 wins–6 wins–1 draw), though that advantage shrinks sharply when just counting home matches.

  • First half Draw - Independiente have shared points in 38% of their home opening halves, whereas Tucumán have done the same in half their away first periods. look for a cautious start, then more dominance from the home side once halftime passes. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 2.03;
  • Independiente to win - their home defense is solid, letting in justhalf a goal on average, with clean sheets in over six out of ten games. meanwhile, Tucumán struggles on the road, scoring only 0.5 per match, failing to score in nearly six out of ten, and managing a shutout just once every fifteen trips. This clash leans heavily in favor of El Rojo when itcomes to South America’s top club competition. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.80;
  • Both To Score - No - El Rojo keeps shutouts at home pretty often - toss in Tucumán struggling to score on the road, plus their cautious style when traveling, so no goalsfrom both sides looks solid. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.62;

Tucumán will struggle to keep up, though Independiente's setup at home - keeping possession, defending deep, yet dangerous from dead-ball situations - tends to make the difference across the full match. Look for El Rojo to gradually take control, then strike once the game opens past the 60th minute.



Our match prediction: 1 st Half - Draw for a coefficient of 2.03 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Independiente to win for a coefficient of 1.80 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,03
Bet Type First half Draw
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type Independiente to win
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,62
Bet Type Both To Score - No
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