Rosario vs Estudiantes: Prediction for the Match on November 23, 2025

Rosario vs Estudiantes: Prediction for the Match on November 23 2025

The knockout round of the Torneo Betano Clausura is an interesting duel in Rosario with a match between Rosario central as hosts of Estudiantes de La Plata. The hosts come with one of the best home records in Argentina and a strategy of the best defensive system, and Estudiantes comes into the tie with bruised heels after two straight losses yet tactically keen and able to exert massive periods of possession. Having a stark contrast in identities, this clash will become a mix of solidness of Rosario and possession playing of Estudiantes.

Rosario: Form and Statistics

Rosario Central was beaten 1-0 in their last match, on the road to Independiente, although they controlled more of the ball, more shots on goal, and expected goals (0.94 xG vs 0.65). They had possession of 58 percent and came up with five shots on target but were not that accurate at the critical point. But this loss has no bearing on their general figure. Rosario won three in their five games in the league over the course of their last five games, losing only that one with the team defeating Instituto, Sarmiento Junin and Platense. Their results in season are remarkable: 19 wins, only 3 losses in 34 games, excellent data in the field of defense: only 17 goals were scored.They only allow goals at 0.50 per game, clean sheets are made in 53% of the games, and even more in their homes with 11 wins, six draws, and one loss. Rosario also score 1.33 goals per home game and create more than 12 home game shots in their stadium. Their rate of taking shots at home is high (5 per match) and their xG indicates that they have a history of generating more high-value chances than the majority of Argentina-based teams do. Having proved to be defensive because of their effectiveness and their orderliness, Rosario enter this tie as rightful favourites.

Rosario: Lineup

Rosario ought to continue with their 4-2-3-1 formation. Jorge Broun should also remain in goal and has had a defence which has been among the tightest in the competition. The back four must include Mallo Blanco and Komar in the middle defence, providing aerial capabilities and a serene penetration and should include Coronel on the right and Sandez on the left, able to assist in the wide overloads yet would be more concerned with ensuring defensive balance. The midfield will probably be comprised of anchor Navarro and Lovera, being dynamic, ball-carrying and progression. High in front of the class, the three Duarte, Campaz and Di Maria provide Rosario with breadth, stride and depth. Campaz, especially, is vital to making breaks and producing numerical superiority, where Veliz gives a centerpiece, and Di Maria gives finishing instincts.

Rosario Central starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Broun – Coronel, Mallo Blanco, Komar, Sandez – Navarro, Lovera – Campaz, Di Maria, Duarte – Veliz

Out: Gimenez, Gutierrez, Ibarra, Quintana (injured)

Head coach: Ariel Holan

Estudiantes: Form and Statistics

Argentinos Juniors 2-1 home defeat leaves Estudiantes with a loss, albeit with 55% possession, 17 shots, but with poor efficiency, taking only three shots on goal. This 0.82 xG with Argentinos at 1.34 is an indicator of a team that generated volume but not quality opportunities. They are not looking so good in their new shape: they have lost their four out of five games, and lost to Tigre, Boca Juniors and Argentinos. They have a satisfactory campaign in general in the number of seasons: they played 11 games, won 9, lost 13, and had nine draws. At home, they have performed well, however, two wins in seventeen matches away and a goals-conceded ratio of 1.47/per match, means that they are struggling away. Estudiantes have only 0.76 goals per away match and have almost no goals in almost a half of their away matches. Their xG out is also reduced to 1.24 per match and permits 1.58 xGA. They have low goal conversion rates, despite the high possession statistics they have (56% average) which is particularly in the road.

Estudiantes: Lineup

Estudiantes will most probably proceed with their 4-2-3-1 model. Muslera must begin with a hard worked match against Argentinos. Gomez and Arzamendia need to be positioned as full-backs in defence and provide width and crossing, and Nunez and Gonzalez Pirez need to play in the centre and be able to resist the direct play of Rosario. Amondarain must anchor the build-up in the middle of field connecting defence and attack by short controlled circulation. In front of him Ascacibar and Palacios add intensity, pushing and forward pressure. Perez Fabricio as the key striker on the front three with Medina drifting in on the left to provide creativity and Cetre Angulo on the right to add finishing instincts should make the three. This is a structure that pays more focus on possession but has not been able to penetrate during the recent away performances.

Estudiantes starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Muslera – Gomez, Nunez, Gonzalez Pirez, Arzamendia – Ascacibar, Amondarain – Medina, Palacios, Cetre Angulo – Perez Fabricio

Out: None

Head coach: Eduardo Dominguez

Rosario vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head Statistics

The team record between the teams is slightly in favour of Rosario. Rosario have won four of their last 13 encounters with Estudiantes three and six being a draw. The result score is almost even at 17-16. But a more evident trend can be seen in the home advantage of Rosario: since 2022 they have not lost to Estudiantes in their hold, and have even won 2-0 in their last home game. The mean objectives in these two contests is 2.54, and BTTS took place in 69 percent of the matches, which suggests that the profile of the sides facing each other is usually open.

Rosario vs Estudiantes Betting Trends

• Rosario Central to Qualify - Rosario are of the best form at home (2.17 PPG) and Estudiantes is one of the worst on the road in the league (0.71 PPG). This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.60;
• Both Teams to Score - Yes - Rosario give up few goals, yet Estudiantes generate a lot of shot attempts (12 per match) and H2H positively prefers BTTS results. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 2.2;
• Rosario Central Over 0.5 First-Half Goals - Rosario gets in early often, and 83% of home games have at least one first-half goal. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 2.1;

Rosario vs Estudiantes Match Prediction 23 November 2025

Rosario get into this tie as the more steady and balanced and integrated side. Home consistency and their defensive structure, superior metrics inclusive of xG, goal difference and clean sheets, make them formidable favourites. This would be a hard task because estudiantes will seek to dominate rhythm by possession yet they lack efficiency in away games and poor form recently.

Our match prediction: Rosario Central to Qualify for a coefficient of 1.60 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Both Teams to Score - Yes for a coefficient of 2.2 in the 1xbet bookmaker.