Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction: Atlético can’t lose

Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on December 04, 2025

Both teams are physically and mentally exhausted after losing international finals, but there is still something at stake in the league. Although unlikely, Atlético could still be relegated. Meanwhile, Palmeiras is five points behind Flamengo, so the title seems lost. However, the Paulistas must win to keep second place.

Atlético Mineiro: Form and statistics

The Rooster lost 1-0 away to Fortaleza and now sits in 13th place in the table with 45 points. Tomás Pochettino scored the only goal of the game in the 41st minute. Although Atlético ended the game with 66% possession, the home team deserved the victory. The relegation zone is four points below, so mathematically, the Miners are not yet out of danger. Interestingly, Atlético is also only three points away from eighth place, a position that could eventually give access to the Copa Libertadores qualifying round. However, Cruzeiro or Fluminense must win the Copa do Brasil for that spot to open up, and several teams are better positioned than Atlético in the standings. In other words, if Sampaoli's men defeat Palmeiras, they will definitely avoid relegation and can enter the fight for eighth place.

Atlético Mineiro: Lineup

Rony is back after serving his ban.

🔖Atlético Mineiro starting lineup (3-5-2)

Everson – Saravia, Vitor Hugo, Alonso – Scarpa, Alexsander, Alan Franco, Bernard, Arana – Hulk, Dudu

⛔️Out: Júnior Santos, Lyanco, Cuello, Caio Maia, Patrick (injured)

👤Head Coach: Jorge Sampaoli

Palmeiras: Form and statistics

Palmeiras experienced one of the most challenging weeks in its recent history, and now, probably everyone at the club wants the season to end as soon as possible. Abel Ferreira did not take his best players to Porto Alegre with the Copa Libertadores final in mind, and as a result, Palmeiras lost 3-2 to Grêmio. The Portuguese coach's risky gamble backfired, leaving the league title in Flamengo's hands. To make matters worse, Palmeiras lost the Copa Libertadores final in Lima, Peru. The Paulistas played poorly and failed to get a single shot on target. Flamengo won 1-0 with a header from Danilo after a corner in the 67th minute. Vitor Roque had a great chance to equalize in the 88th minute but missed scandalously in front of goal, shooting over the bar. Less than a month ago, Palmeiras was in good form, but after losing to Mirassol, the players' confidence plummeted. It is difficult to explain what happened, but the reality is that Flamengo has more talented players than Palmeiras. This season, the Cariocas have been strengthened by the signings of Saul, Jorginho, and Samuel Lino, while Palmeiras lost their best player, Estêvão, who was sold to Chelsea.

Palmeiras: Lineup

Giay, Moreno, and Torres are suspended.

🔖Palmeiras starting lineup (4-4-2)

Carlos Miguel – Khellven, Gustavo Gómez, Murilo, Píquerez – Fuchs, Andreas Pereira, Allan, Sosa – Flaco López, Vitor Roque

⛔️Out: Weverton, Lucas Evangelista, Felipe Anderson, Paulinho (injured), Giay, Moreno, Torres (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras: Head-to-head statistics

The two clubs have met 86 times, and Palmeiras holds the upper hand. The Verdão won 39 matches, while Atlético Mineiro won 27. On 20 occasions, the games ended in a draw. This season, Palmeiras won 3-2 at home.

Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras: Betting tips & Odds

• The BTTS-NO bet has won four times in Palmeiras’ last five matches. You can bet that at least one team will not score (BTTS-NO) for 1.82 at 1xBet;
• Palmeiras has not won any of its last six games. You can bet on Atlético not losing (1X) for 1.57 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won four times in Atlético's last four matches. You can bet on a game with no more than two goals (TU 2.5) for 1.65 at 1xBet.

Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras match prediction 04 December 2025

Atlético Mineiro needs points to get out of the danger zone and perhaps even gain access to the Copa Libertadores qualifying round. Palmeiras players are devastated after losing the Copa Libertadores final, so they don't have much motivation for this game. It's hard to predict how the Paulistas will approach the match, especially since the title is almost impossible, so I'll go for a draw.

Our match prediction: Draw for 3.20 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: TU 2.5 for 1.65 at 1xBet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-1 for 5.50 at Bet365.