Flamengo vs Bahia
Stadium: Maracanã
11.05.2025, 03:00
Flamengo vs Bahia: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on May 11, 2025
Flamengo hosts Bahia at the Maracanã in one of the best games of Round 8. The Mengão lost for the first time in the league last week, so only a victory matters against one of the best sides in the Brasileirão.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!Flamengo: Form and statistics
It was a difficult week for Flamengo, losing to Cruzeiro and drawing 1-1 with Central Córdoba in the Copa Libertadores, complicating its chances of qualification. In Belo Horizonte, Flamengo entered the Mineirão as the favorite, but suffered an unexpected defeat. The Scarlet Black hadn't lost to Cruzeiro for seven years, but the Miners were stronger this time. Kaio Jorge opened the score after 15 minutes, but Flamengo equalized close to half-time with a wonderful goal from Arrascaeta, the league's top scorer. Flamengo had the lion's share of possession in the second half but never really troubled goalkeeper Cássio. Gabriel Barbosa, the former Flamengo player, came on in the 88th minute, and a few minutes later, the referee awarded Cruzeiro a penalty. Gabigol advanced to the penalty spot, shot, and Rossi saved, but the ball fell to the striker, who scored the winning goal for his team. Gabriel Barbosa didn't celebrate to show respect for his former club. If the Cariocas had won, they would have kept first place in the table, but dropped to third instead. The players' confidence dropped, and a few days later, in Argentina, Flamengo drew with Central Córdoba with a poor display. Filipe Luís' team remains third in the Copa Libertadores' Group C, now with five points, three behind LDU Quito and Central Córdoba.
Flamengo: Lineup
De la Cruz picked up his third yellow card against Cruzeiro and is suspended. Everton Cebolinha suffered an injury and is unlikely to play. Léo Pereira could lose his place to Danilo after two bad performances.
🔖Flamengo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)
Rossi – Wesley, Léo Ortiz, Danilo, Alex Sandro – Pulgar, Allan – Gerson, Arrascaeta, Bruno Henrique – Pedro
⛔️Out: Everton Cebolinha, Viña (injured), De la Cruz (suspended)
👤Head Coach: Filipe Luís
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Bahia: Form and statistics
Last weekend, the Steel Squadron beat champion Botafogo at home 1-0 to extend its winning streak to five victories in a row, three of them in the league. Cauly scored the game's only goal in the 39th minute. Rogério Ceni's team won five consecutive games by 1-0, showing great defensive consistency. However, a few days later, everything changed. Bahia hosted Nacional de Montevideo for the Copa Libertadores, and opened the score in the 47th minute through Jean Lucas. It looked like Bahia was going to get another win, but the Uruguayans equalized ten minutes later, and from that moment on, the home team fell apart. The Baianos settled in their opponents' half and began to give too much space at the back, allowing Nacional to counter-attack, which made the most of the situation and scored two more goals. Bahia could have secured qualification with a victory, but the players couldn't control their emotions and lost their collective balance.
Bahia: Lineup
Bahia has quite a few problems for this game, with several players injured and suspended. The starting eleven could change even more if Rogério Ceni decides to give some players a rest in preparation for the crucial match with Atlético Nacional next week.
🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)
Marcos Felipe – Gabriel Xavier, David Duarte, Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba – Jean Lucas, Acevedo, Éverton Ribeiro – Cauly, Luciano Rodríguez, Erick Pulga
⛔️Out: Gilberto, Kanu, Ronaldo, Arias (injured), Caio Alexandre, Erick (suspended)
👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni
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Flamengo vs Bahia: Head-to-head statistics
Flamengo has a big advantage in the 61 meetings with Bahia. The Cariocas have won 29 games and lost 13. The matches have ended in a draw on 19 occasions. Flamengo's superiority has increased in recent years, with 11 wins in the past 11 meetings. In addition, Rogério Ceni has 15 defeats in 15 games against Flamengo. Ceni has coached São Paulo, Fortaleza, and Bahia and has always lost to the Rio club.
History of Head-to-Heads
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Cup 2024
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Cup 2024
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Flamengo vs Bahia: Betting tips & Odds
- In the last 11 head-to-heads, Flamengo has always beaten Bahia. You can bet on Flamengo winning for 1.38 at 1xBet;
- The Cariocas were always the first to score in the last 10 matches between Flamengo and Bahia. You can bet that Flamengo will be the first team to score for 1.25 at Bet365;
- The TU 2.5 bet has won five times in Bahia's last six games. You can place this bet for 1.95 at Bet365.
Flamengo vs Bahia match prediction 11 May 2025
Flamengo is the clear favorite despite the last two negative results. The Cariocas have won their last 11 games against Bahia. In addition to some absences due to injuries and suspensions, the Bahia coach may opt for a different line-up given the important Copa Libertadores match next week. I'm betting on a Flamengo win with a maximum of four goals scored to increase the odds.
Our match prediction: Flamengo to win & TU 4.5 for 1.65 at Betway.
Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - No for 1.67 at 1xBet.
Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 2-0 for 6.00 at Bet365.
Other predictions
