São Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction for the Match on September 14, 2025

São Paulo vs Botafogo: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on September 14, 2025

São Paulo hosts Botafogo in a crucial Brasileirão Série A Round 23 clash at the Morumbi, with both teams chasing different goals. São Paulo, sitting 7th with 32 points, is coming off a 1-0 loss to Cruzeiro but remains strong at home, winning 5 of their last 6 at Morumbi. 

Botafogo, meanwhile, comes in 5th with 35 points. They showed resilience in their recent Copa do Brasil tie against Vasco, holding them to a 1-1 draw, but eventually bowed out on penalties. That disappointment aside, they remain a tough side to beat.

São Paulo’s biggest challenge, however, lies in their growing injury list, which has stretched the squad thin. Historically, it's always a tough fight whenever these teams meet, and we are led to expect a very tough encounter here on Sunday night. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

São Paulo: Form and statistics

Form in the League: LWDWW

The Tricolor Paulista endured a narrow but frustrating defeat in their last league outing, falling 1-0 to Cruzeiro after Matheus Pereira struck in the 64th minute. Despite dominating possession and creating several chances, São Paulo simply couldn’t find the breakthrough. Cruzeiro has always been a tricky opponent, but what’s hurting São Paulo even more right now is their mounting injury list, which continues to plague Hernán Crespo’s side.

That loss shattered a three-match unbeaten streak, but at Morumbi, São Paulo remains a formidable force, winning five of their last six on home soil. Currently sitting seventh with 32 points, they trail sixth-placed Mirassol by three points while keeping a narrow cushion over eighth-placed Red Bull Bragantino.

While their Copa do Brasil journey ended at the hands of Athletico, the bigger focus now shifts to securing Copa Libertadores football for next season. For a club with São Paulo’s history, that’s non-negotiable. And with a massive quarter-final clash against LDU Quito looming next week, the Tricolor Paulista know they have to sharpen up fast if they’re going to deliver both at home and on the continental stage.

São Paulo: Lineup

Forward Andre Silva, who has been on fire for Sao Paulo in the Copa Libertadores with three goals to his name in the competition, suffered a serious knee injury and is most likely ruled out for the rest of the season. A major problem facing Hernan Crespo is their long list of injuries. With Andre out of the season, Ferreira is most likely to replace him up front.

Player to watch out for: Ferreira

With almost half the squad injured, Ferreira remains the man to watch out for in this São Paulo side. The 27-year-old forward has 4 goals and two assists in the league this season. 

🔖 São Paulo probable starting lineup (3-4-1-2)

Rafael— Franco, Sabino, Ferraresi— Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Soares, Patryck— Rodriguinho— Ferreira, Luciano.

⛔️ Out: André Silva, Marcos Antônio, Lucas Moura, Arboleda, Ryan Francisco, Oscar, Calleri, Luiz Gustavo (injured). 

👤 Head coach: Hernan Crespo 

Botafogo: Form and statistics

Form in the league: DWDWL

What a week it has been for the Cariocas. Botafogo ended August with a commanding 4-1 win over Red Bull Bragantino, a result that lifted them into 5th place on the Brasileirão table. Davide Ancelotti’s men were brilliant on the night, extending their unbeaten streak against Bragantino to three games while showcasing their ability.

Danilo set the tone early with a thunderous strike from outside the box in the 6th minute, only for Jhon to briefly bring Bragantino level nine minutes later. But that was as close as the visitors came. Newton restored Botafogo’s lead with another long-range beauty, before Jefferson Savarino added a third right before half-time. In the dying moments of the match, Álvaro Montoro put the finishing touch on a statement win, making it 4-1 and sealing three valuable points.

That victory came just six days after their 3-1 triumph over Juventude, meaning the Cariocas have now scored seven goals across their last two league games. However, the celebrations were short-lived in the Copa do Brasil, where they were eliminated on penalties by Vasco after a tense 2-2 aggregate battle.

Even so, Botafogo remains firm. Sitting 5th with 35 points, level with sixth-placed Mirassol and just one point behind Bahia in fourth, they are very much in contention for Copa Libertadores qualification next season. With their Copa do Brasil and Libertadores journeys behind them, all focus now shifts to the league, where Ancelotti’s men look determined to finish strong and get their ticket back to continental football.

Botafogo: Lineup

Botafogo: Lineup

Chris Ramos looks to have also joined the injury list, and he is doubtful for the clash against Sao Paulo. The midfield is the engine room for Davide Ancelotti, and he sure utilizes his midfield power effectively.

Player to watch out for: Jefferson Savarino

Savarino remains a beauty to watch; his long-range beauty against RB Bragantino only speaks so little about his brilliance and firepower. He has three goals for Botafogo in the league this season.  

🔖 Botafogo probable starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Neto – Vitinho, Kaio, Ricardo, Marçal – Newton, Danilo – Rodriguez, Savarino, Jeffinho – Arthur Cabral

⛔️Out: Cuiabano, Bastos, Chris Ramos (injured)

👤 Head coach: Davide Ancelotti 

São Paulo vs Botafogo: Head-to-head statistics

A closer look at their last 28 meetings showed that it's always a tough encounter whenever these teams meet. Both teams have won 9 games each, with 10 draws. We might see a draw in this game, or both teams will find the net.

São Paulo vs Botafogo: Betting tips & Odds

• No losses for Botafogo in their last 10 meetings, and the option for Botafogo to win or draw this game is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 1.63;
• Both teams have found the net in 4 of their last 5 meetings, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 2.12 odds;
• There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 meetings, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 1.54 odds;
• Some experts believe that Sao Paulo will win, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 2.26 odds;

São Paulo vs Botafogo match prediction 14 September 2025

São Paulo might slack here, given their long list of injuries against Botafogo’s current strength and firepower. It's always a tough one whenever these teams meet, with 5 of their last six meetings ending in draws. I believe this game will also end in a full-time draw, or both teams will effectively find the net. Another option could be for Botafogo to win or draw this game; they might take advantage of São Paulo’s injury crisis and hit them hard. 

Our match prediction is a draw or both teams to score for a coefficient of 1.72 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a win or draw for Botafogo, for a coefficient of 1.63 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Lastly, a total of over 9 corners for 1.67 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.