São Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction: Only victory matters to Flamengo

São Paulo vs Flamengo: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on November 06, 2025

São Paulo and Flamengo will meet in one of the best games of the round. The match will be played at the Santos' stadium, as the MorumBIS will be unavailable for some time.

São Paulo: Form and statistics

São Paulo unexpectedly beat Vasco 2-0 away from home. The Rio side were very confident after four consecutive wins, in contrast to São Paulo's poor performances, so the result came as a surprise. The Paulistas were more effective, and that is what matters most in football. Vasco had 24 shots, ten of which were on target, but failed to score. The best the home team could manage was a header from Rayan that hit the post in the 28th minute. Just before halftime, Paulo Henrique grabbed Arboleda inside the area, and VAR alerted the referee, who awarded a penalty after reviewing the footage. Lucas Moura made no mistake, opening the scoring for São Paulo. In the second half, Vasco kept attacking but without any practical results, despite creating some chances. Near the end of the match, in the 87th minute, Luiz Gustavo made it 2-0 with a header, sealing the result. São Paulo overtook Vasco in the standings and now occupies eighth place with 44 points, three behind seventh-placed Fluminense. São Paulo's goal is to qualify for the Copa Libertadores, and to do so, it must finish at least seventh to reach the qualifying round.

São Paulo: Lineup

Alan Franco and Enzo Díaz can't play due to suspension. Maik and Luciano are back after serving their bans.

🔖São Paulo starting lineup (3-5-2)

Rafael – Ferraresi, Arboleda, Sabino – Cédric Soares, Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Marcos Antônio, Patryck – Lucas Moura, Luciano

⛔️Out: Rodriguinho, Wendell, Luan, Oscar, Ryan Francisco, Calleri, André Silva, Dinenno (injured), Alan Franco, Enzo Díaz (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Hernán Crespo

Flamengo: Form and statistics

The Scarlet-Black beat Sport Recife 3-0 at the Maracanã and remains in second place, one point behind the leader Palmeiras. In the first half, Flamengo struggled to find space in Sport's dense defense. Filipe Luís decided to leave Arrascaeta on the bench to give the Uruguayan some rest, and naturally, the team missed his creativity. Bruno Henrique had a great chance with a shot over the bar, and De la Cruz forced Gabriel into an excellent save after a long-range shot. In the second half, Bruno Henrique broke the deadlock in the 51st minute after an assist from Samuel Lino. From then on, the game became easier for the Cariocas, who scored again nine minutes later through Bruno Henrique. Arrascaeta, who had come on a few minutes earlier, made it 3-0 in the 67th minute with a sublime free kick to seal the result. The Vulture did what it had to do, and now a difficult game against São Paulo lies ahead.

Flamengo: Lineup

Bruno Henrique and Evertton Araújo are suspended. 

🔖Flamengo starting lineup (4-3-3)

Rossi – Varela, Danilo, Léo Pereira, Alex Sandro – Pulgar, De la Cruz, Arrascaeta – Luiz Araújo, Plata, Samuel Lino

⛔️Out: Pedro, Jorginho, Léo Ortiz, Everton Cebolinha (injured), Bruno Henrique, Evertton Araújo (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Filipe Luís

São Paulo vs Flamengo: Head-to-head statistics

São Paulo holds the upper hand in the head-to-head between the two clubs. The Paulistas have won 46 games, while the Cariocas have won 40. On 33 occasions, the matches ended in a draw. This season, Flamengo defeated São Paulo 2-0 at home.

São Paulo vs Flamengo: Betting tips & Odds

• The BTTS-NO bet has won five times in Flamengo's last six games. You can bet that at least one team will not score (BTTS-NO) for 1.66 at Betway;
• São Paulo has lost three of its last four home matches. You can bet on Flamengo winning for 2.00 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won 12 times in São Paulo's last 14 matches. You can bet on a game with a maximum of two goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.58 at Betway.

São Paulo vs Flamengo match prediction 06 November 2025

Flamengo is in second place, one point behind Palmeiras, so dropping points at this stage is dangerous. Every game is a final from now on for the Cariocas. São Paulo secured an important victory against Vasco at the São Januário and renewed their aspirations for a place in next year's Copa Libertadores. São Paulo will not host Flamengo at the MorumBIS, and so it will lose the home advantage. I'm going to bet on a Flamengo victory.

Our match prediction: Flamengo to win for 2.00 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - No for 1.66 at 1xBet.

Our final tip for this match: Correct Score 0-1 for 6.00 at Bet365.