Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction: Expect an exciting match

Vitória vs São Paulo: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on December 07, 2025

Vitória and São Paulo will meet in Salvador in a crucial match for both teams. The Baianos are in the relegation zone and must win, or they will drop to the Série B. The Paulistas need a draw to end in eighth place.

Vitória: Form and statistics

Vitória lost 4-0 away to Bragantino and fell back into the relegation zone. The Baianos are in 17th place with 42 points, one less than Fortaleza and Ceará. A draw is not enough for Vitória, even if both Fortaleza teams draw, due to the tiebreaker criteria. The Barra's Lion must defeat São Paulo and hope that Fortaleza or Ceará do not win, or that Santos loses. Fortaleza will face Botafogo away, while Ceará hosts Palmeiras, so it is quite possible that one of Vitória's two opponents will not win. However, none of this will matter if Vitória does not beat São Paulo. Vitória's loyal fans will certainly support their team tirelessly. It will definitely be a night of strong emotions at the Barradão.

Vitória: Lineup

Erick is on loan from São Paulo, but Vitória is willing to pay a fee so that the winger can play.

🔖Vitória starting lineup (3-4-3)

Thiago Couto – Zé Marcos, Camutanga, Lucas Halter– Cáceres, Ronald, Baralhas, Ramon – Erick, Cantalapiedra, Renato Kayzer

⛔️Out: Lucas Arcanjo, Edu, Fintelman, Ismael, Claudinho, Jamerson (injured)

👤Head Coach: Jair Ventura

São Paulo: Form and statistics

São Paulo beat Internacional 3-0 at home and kept eighth place in the table. The goals were scored by Sabino, Maik, and Luciano. The Paulistas can still dream of a place in the Copa Libertadores qualifying round, but to do so, they must finish eighth and hope that Fluminense or Cruzeiro win the Copa do Brasil. It's not an unlikely scenario, as both clubs are favorites to win the cup. Nevertheless, the Tricolor first needs to secure eighth place, and for that, it needs to draw with Vitória. However, the game will be tough as the home team must win to avoid relegation. Only RB Bragantino can overtake São Paulo in the table, and for that to happen, it must beat Internacional away. Red Bull's mission will not be easy either, as Inter is also fighting for survival. At the moment, the Paulistas are better positioned, but anything can happen.

São Paulo: Lineup

Bobadilla is suspended after receiving his third yellow card.

🔖São Paulo starting lineup (3-5-2)

Rafael – Ferraresi, Arboleda, Sabino – Maik, Alisson, Luiz Gustavo, Marcos Antônio, Ferreira – Tapia, Luciano

⛔️Out: Alan Franco, Enzo Díaz, Lucas Moura, Rodriguinho, Wendell, Luan, Oscar, Ryan Francisco, Calleri, André Silva (injured), Bobadilla (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Hernán Crespo

Vitória vs São Paulo: Head-to-head statistics

São Paulo holds the upper hand in the head-to-head between the two clubs. The Paulistas have won 33 games, while the Baianos have won 9. On six occasions, the matches ended in a draw. This season, São Paulo defeated Vitória 2-0 at home.

Vitória vs São Paulo: Betting tips & Odds

• São Paulo has scored the first goal in 9 of its last 10 meetings with Vitória. You can bet that the Paulistas will be the first to score for 2.63 at Bet365;
• São Paulo has won 9 of its last 10 games against Vitória. You can bet that São Paulo will win for 4.73 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won seven times in Vitória's last eight home matches. You can bet on a game with no more than two goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.62 at 1xBet.

Vitória vs São Paulo match prediction 07 December 2025

The final round of the Brazilian league features several interesting games, and this is one of them. Vitória needs to win to escape relegation, and even that may not be enough. The Baianos are in the Z4 and know that a draw will send them straight to the Série B. Vitória needs to climb just one place in the table, meaning that if it wins, it must hope that Ceará or Fortaleza do not win, or that Santos loses. On the other hand, São Paulo needs a draw to secure eighth place, which could eventually grant access to the Copa Libertadores qualifying round. The Paulistas may not even need a draw if Bragantino does not beat Internacional in Porto Alegre. I'm going to bet on a match with a maximum of two goals scored.

Our match prediction: TU 2.5 for 1.62 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Vitória to win for 1.85 at Betway.    

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-0 for 6.00 at Bet365.