Vitória vs Vasco da Gama Prediction: Both teams need points

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on May 11, 2025

Vitória and Vasco da Gama will meet in Salvador when both teams are on winless streaks. The Baianos need to win as they are in the relegation zone, while Vasco is coming from a humiliating defeat in Venezuela.

Vitória: Form and statistics

The Barra's Lion lost 1-0 away to Ceará, a Northeast rival. Vitória started the game defending well and was the most dangerous team in the first half with a few counterattacks, but failed to score. The home side appeared more dominant in the second half and scored through Marllon's header from a corner kick in the 55th minute. Thiago Carpini, Vitória's coach, made several substitutions to make his team more offensive, but the Cearenses were able to keep the lead. Vitória has six points and is in 18th place. In midweek, Vitória hosted Defensa y Justicia in the Copa Sudamericana and could do no better than draw 1-1. The Baianos' situation in Group B is difficult as they are currently out of the qualifying places, and their two remaining games are away from home. The Salvador team hasn't won in five games.

Vitória: Lineup

Right-back Claudinho received his third yellow card and is suspended. Baralhas and Zé Marcos have physical problems and shouldn't be available.

🔖Vitória starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Lucas Arcanjo – Raul Cáceres, Lucas Halter, Edu, Jamerson – Ronald, Ryller – Matheuzinho, Erick, Gustavo Mosquito – Janderson

⛔️Out: Baralhas, Zé Marcos, Gabriel, Willian Oliveira, Carlos Eduardo (injured) Claudinho (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Thiago Carpini

Vitoria Latest Games

Vitoria

15.05.25

Cerro Largo

0 - 1

Vitoria

11.05.25

Vitoria

2 - 1

Vasco da Gama

07.05.25

Vitoria

1 - 1

Defensa y Justicia

04.05.25

Ceara

1 - 0

Vitoria

28.04.25

Vitoria

1 - 1

Gremio

24.04.25

Vitoria

0 - 1

Cerro Largo

21.04.25

Fluminense

1 - 1

Vitoria

17.04.25

Vitoria

2 - 1

Fortaleza

14.04.25

Atletico MG

2 - 2

Vitoria

11.04.25

Defensa y Justicia

0 - 0

Vitoria

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Vasco da Gama Latest Games

Vasco da Gama

14.05.25

Atlético Lanús

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

11.05.25

Vitoria

2 - 1

Vasco da Gama

08.05.25

Academia Puerto Cabello

4 - 1

Vasco da Gama

04.05.25

Vasco da Gama

0 - 1

Palmeiras

28.04.25

Cruzeiro

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

23.04.25

Vasco da Gama

0 - 0

Atlético Lanús

20.04.25

Vasco da Gama

0 - 0

Flamengo

16.04.25

Ceara

2 - 1

Vasco da Gama

13.04.25

Vasco da Gama

3 - 1

Sport Recife

09.04.25

Vasco da Gama

1 - 0

Academia Puerto Cabello

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Vasco da Gama: Form and statistics

Vasco fans are still desperately waiting for a new coach to be announced, while their team continues to struggle. In the last round, playing as the host in Brasilia, the Cruzmaltino lost 1-0 to Palmeiras. Vasco didn't have a bad game, but committed a serious defensive error and paid the price. Hugo Moura received the ball from his keeper in the box and lost it to Estêvão, who assisted Vitor Roque. The former Barcelona player finally scored his first goal for Palmeiras. Vasco dropped to 14th place with seven points from seven games. But the worst was yet to come, a few days later. The Giant suffered one of the most humiliating defeats in its history, losing 4-1 to the modest Venezuelan side Puerto Cabello. The Cariocas played a dreadful game, committing gross errors on one of those days when they shouldn't have left home. Vasco is in second place in the group and remains in a qualifying position, but the next match with Lanús in Argentina could throw the team into third place. Felipe will probably be in charge of Vasco da Gama for the last time against Vitória. The new coach should be announced in the next few days.

Vasco da Gama: Lineup

Paulo Henrique received his third yellow card against Palmeiras and will have to face suspension. Puma Rodríguez should take his place.

🔖Vasco starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Jardim – Puma Rodríguez, João Victor, Luiz Gustavo, Piton – Hugo Moura, Matheus Carvalho – Nuno Moreira, Coutinho, Rayan – Vegetti

⛔️Out: Lucas Freitas, Payet, Lemos, Estrella, David (injured) Paulo Henrique (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Felipe

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: Head-to-head statistics

The two teams have met 50 times, with the advantage going to Vitória. The Baianos have won 21 games while the Cariocas have won 17. However, Vasco has won three times in the past four games in Salvador.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025

11.05.25

Vitoria

2 - 1

Vasco da Gama

Serie A 2024

02.09.24

Vitoria

0 - 1

Vasco da Gama

Serie A 2024

13.05.24

Vasco da Gama

2 - 1

Vitoria

Serie B 2021

11.11.21

Vasco da Gama

0 - 3

Vitoria

Serie B 2021

08.08.21

Vitoria

0 - 1

Vasco da Gama

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Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: Betting tips & Odds

• The TU 2.5 bet has always won in Vitória's last five matches and in five of Vasco's last six. You can place this bet for 1.57 at 1xBet;
• Vitória has conceded first in four of the last five matches. You can bet that Vasco da Gama will be the first team to score for 2.63 at Bet365;
• Vitória has only won one of its last 13 games. You can bet on a Double Chance in favour of Vasco for 1.74 at 1xBet.

1X2 DC Handicap O/U BTTS CS O/E HT/FT

Main Time (2) 1st Half (2) 2nd Half (2)

	W1	X	W2
	2.02	3.10	3.80
	2.49	2.41	4.20

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama match prediction 11 May 2025

Vitória hasn't won in five games while Vasco da Gama hasn't won in six, so both sides are low in confidence. The Baianos are playing at home, so they have a slightly better chance of winning, but they'll have to improve considerably to get the three points. Vasco is about to announce a new coach, and is going through an unstable moment. As the Cariocas usually struggle on the road, I'm betting on a Double Chance in favor of Vitória with a maximum of three goals scored.

Our match prediction: 1X & TU 3.5 for 1.60 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 2.05 at Bet365.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at 1xBet.