Estonia vs Italy Prediction: For the Italians, Difference in Score Matters

Estonia vs Italy: Prediction for the Match on October 11, 2025

In September, the Italian national football team defeated the Estonian team at home with a score of 5-0. Will they continue their winning streak in the next game away from home? Read our prediction from Telecomasia to find out. Let's take a look at the statistics, odds, and bookmakers' lines to choose the best betting options.

Estonia: form and statistics

The Estonians won one game in this qualifying round - against Moldova, away from home, with a score of 3-2. They lost the remaining games - twice against Israel, once at home and once away, with scores of 1-2 and 1-3 respectively, and also lost to Norway at home and to Italy away with scores of 0-1 and 0-5 respectively. Estonia currently sits in the penultimate position in the group, ahead of only Moldova. It's clear that Lilian Popescu's team has no chance of qualifying for the World Cup at this point.

Italy: form and statistics

The Italians made a change to their head coach during the qualifying rounds. Luciano Spalletti, who had not been able to improve the team's performance, was dismissed and Gennaro Gattuso was appointed to take his place. Under his guidance, Italy played two games and won both of them - 5-0 against Estonia at home and 5-4 against Israel in a dramatic match on neutral ground. Prior to that, Italy beat Moldova 2-0 at home but lost 0-3 to Norway away from home. Currently, Italy is six points behind first place but occupies second place, which qualifies them for play-off games.

Estonia vs Italy: head to head statistics

The two teams have met eight times and all eight games have gone to Italy. Italy has won eight consecutive games against Estonia, with odds of 1.09.

Estonia vs Italy: Betting Tips & Odds

• In three of the last five matches, Italy scored three or more goals, with odds of 2.5 at 1.60.
• In four of the previous five meetings with Estonia, Italy led by two goals, with odds of (-2.5) at 1.85.
• In the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams, there have been three or more goals scored in each game.
• The average number of goals scored is 3.0, with a coefficient of 1.63.

Estonia vs Italy: Bookmakers' odds for the match

Italy is the clear favorite in this match, according to the odds from the 1xbet betting company. Their odds are 1.09, while the odds for Estonia are 27.00 and the draw is 9.50. Italy is the clear favorite in this match, according to the odds from the betting company. Their odds are 1.09, while the odds for Estonia are 27.00 and the draw is 9.50.

Estonia vs Italy match prediction 11 October 2025

Italy is significantly superior to Estonia, and Gennaro Gattuso's team has strong tournament motivation. They have not yet secured entry into the play-offs, so they are playing to win each game. We believe Squadra Azzurra will achieve a major victory because of the potential goal difference in final placements. We are backing the Italians with a negative handicap and betting that they will score at least four goals.

Our main prediction: IT2O (3.5) for a coefficient of 2.25 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: H2 (-2.5) for a coefficient 1.82 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 0:4 for a coefficient 7.00 in the bet365 bookmaker.