Mozambique vs Guinea Prediction: Very important match for Mozambique

Mozambique
Mozambique
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09 Oct 2025 19:00
Guinea
Guinea
Football: FIFA World Cup, Qualification CAF Group G
Stadium: Estádio do Zimpeto (Maputo) 
Time: 09.10.2025 19:00
Zlatko Ilijevski
09 Oct 2025
01:45
Statistics of the month:
6
8
0
42.86%
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Mozambique vs Guinea: Prediction for the Match on October 09, 2025

Africa have benefited significantly from the expansion of the World Cup from 32 to 48 teams. Instead of the previous five places, Africa will have nine guaranteed places, while the tenth selection will participate in the intercontinental play-off. The system in Africa is such that 54 national teams are divided into nine groups of six teams. The winners of all groups will qualify directly for the World Cup, while the four best runners-up will play in the African continental play-off in November. This play-off will essentially be a mini-tournament, where the semi-finals and final will be played. The winner of this tournament will then advance to the Intercontinental Play-off in March next year. So far, eight of the planned ten rounds of the main qualifying round have been played in Africa, and with two rounds remaining, only Morocco and Tunisia have mathematically secured their place. The last two rounds of qualifying will be played in October, after which we will determine the seven additional participants in the World Cup, as well as the four selections that will advance to the play-offs.

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Form in the qualifiers: WLLWW

Mozambique are in third place in Group G with realistic chances to finish in second place and continue the hopes and dreams for the World Cup 2026. However, it won't be easy, first, they need to win against Guinea, and in the last round, they will face Somalia as visitors. Interestingly, Mozambique are in third place but have a negative goal difference of 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. They have five wins and three defeats, while at home they have three wins and only one defeat against Algeria in the second round. In the last five matches in all competitions, they have only one win in the last round of the qualifiers against Botswana at home. In this match, they will be under more pressure to get all three points, and hope that Uganda will slip in the match against Botswana.

Mozambique: Possible Lineup

Conde Chiquinho will most likely play in his favorite 4-2-3-1 formation, with an offensive-aggressive approach. Mozambique will attack through the flanks, but they can change and adapt quickly if necessary during the match.

🔖 Mozambique Possible lineup (4-2-3-1)

Ernan (GK) - Calila, Edson, Mandava, Langa - Nene, Amade - Guima, Catamo, Ratifo - Witi

👤 Head coach: Conde Chiquinho

Form in the qualifiers: DWLDL

Guinea have four points less than Mozambique, and are sitting in fourth place in the table with 11 points, three wins, two draws, and three defeats. As visitors, they have two wins and two defeats, scored five and conceded three goals. However, it will be a miracle if they manage to reach the playoffs in the remaining two rounds of the qualifications. In the last two matches, they showed incredible skills and performances, but it seems a little bit too late. They won against Somalia as visitors and drew against Algeria at home. In the last round, they will welcome Botswana in a match in which they will have realistic chances to get all three points.

Guinea: Possible Lineup

 Mouctar Diakhaby and Issiaga Sylla will miss this match and it's a huge blow for Guinea. Camara Souleymane will have to adapt the team and build it around his best player Serhou Guirassy from Borussia Dortmund.

🔖 Guinea Possible lineup (4-3-3)

M. Camara (GK) - D. Sylla, M. Soumah, Conte, S. Sylla - Toure, Konate, Cisse - Balde, Guirassy, M. Sylla

👤 Head coach: Camara Souleymane

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In their previous five encounters Guinea have three wins while Mozambique only one, in the their first duel of this qualifications.

  • In three of their last five matches both teams didn't scored. The option BTTS - No is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for 1.73 odds;
  • In three of their last five matches the result was under 1.5 goals. The option under 2.5 goals is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for 1.54 odds;
  • Guinea scored a goal in their last three away matches. The option Guinea to score a goal is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for 1.36 odds.

I expect a very tough and uncertain match. Mozambique are a slight favorite, but they are playing under pressure, and it will be very difficult for them. Guinea, on the other hand, are coming into this match more relaxed, and after such great performances in the previous two matches, they will be more confident. However, I think that in the end Mozambique will find a way to win and to keep the chances for the World Cup alive until the last round.

Our match prediction: W1 for a coefficient of 2.6 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: A first-half draw for 1.95 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly: Correct score 2:0 at 12.5 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.

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Odds 1,95
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Odds 12,5
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