Saudi Arabia vs Iraq Prediction: Saudi Arabia are the favorite

Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
14 Oct 2025 21:45
Iraq
Iraq
Football: FIFA World Cup, Qualification, Stage 4, Round 3
Stadium: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah) 
Time: 14.10.2025 21:45
Referee: Makhadmeh A. (Jor)

Zlatko Ilijevski
14 Oct 2025
17:38
Statistics of the month:
4
6
0
40%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 2,06
Bet Type HT - Draw
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Saudi Arabia vs Iraq: Prediction for the Match on October 14, 2025

In Group B, we have a decisive match, Saudi Arabia welcomes Iraq to Jeddah at the King Abdullah Stadium. Saudi Arabia coach Hervé Renard described this duel as "the most important match of his life". His chosen ones will only need to avoid defeat against Iraq to secure a visa for the final tournament. Renard hopes that the experience of Saleh Al Shehri, Salem Al Dawsari, and Hassan Al Tambakti, who have played a total of 576 matches in the Saudi Arabian league, will give them the upper hand in this historic match for the country.

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This is a duel for first place in the group and automatic qualification for the World Cup. In the first two matches in the group, both the Saudis and the Iraqis defeated Indonesia. The Green Falcons 3:2, and Iraq 1:0, which means that a draw will be enough for Saudi Arabia to win first place. The match is being played at a neutral venue in Jeddah, Jordan, where the Green Falcons could have more support. At the last World Cup, Saudi Arabia shocked Argentina in the first round and defeated the future world champion, but failed to advance to the knockout stage. However, that victory was celebrated as if the Saudis had triumphed in the final in Qatar. Whoever comes second will have to wait for the outcome in Group A, that is, whether their rival will be the selection of Qatar or the United Arab Emirates. Saudi Arabia is first in the group with 3 points and better goal difference than Iraq 3:2.

🔖 Saudi Arabia Possible lineup (4-2-3-1)

Al-Aqidi - Boushal, Thakri, Al-Tambakti, Al-Harbi - Al-Khaibari, N Al-Dawsari - Al Shamat, Al-Juwayr, S Al-Dawsari - Albirakan

👤 Head coach: Hervé Renard

Group B is played in Jeddah, and Iraq doesn’t have huge support, but Iraq achieved an important victory with a precise shot by Iqbal (76) from the edge of the penalty area against Indonesia in the last round. With this victory, Iraq tied with Saudi Arabia at the top of the group, both national teams have three points each, and in a direct duel, they will decide who will be the winner of the group at the World Cup, and who will be the runner-up for the continuation of the qualifications. A point will be enough for the hosts to go to the WC, while Iraq will have to win. Indonesia ended the competition at this stage in last place with no points. The winners of the groups in Doha and Jeddah will become the seventh and eighth national teams from the Asian zone to secure the WC, after Japan, Iran, South Korea, Uzbekistan, Australia, and Jordan, while the second-placed national teams will play each other in November, and the winner will win a place in the intercontinental qualifiers scheduled for March.

🔖 Iraq Possible lineup (4-4-2)

Hassan - Ali, Younis, Sulaka, Doski - Bayesh, Iqbal, Al-Ammari, Rasan - Karim, Ali

👤 Head coach: Graham Arnold

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These teams often play against each other, and in the last five duels, both teams have two wins each, and one match ended in a draw.

  • Both teams scored a goal in three of their last five meetings. This option is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for 2.2 odds;
  • Iraq is on the run of four wins in their last four matches. The option for Iraq to win is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for 5.9 odds;
  • Iraq scored a goal in their last four matches. The option for Iraq to score a goal is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for 1.78 odds;

The stakes are huge. I don't expect a spectacle or many goals, but the Iraqis will have to go for the win at some point. However, the better-quality players from Saudi Arabia could take advantage of that and achieve victory. Along with the home victory, I expect a few goals in this match.

Our match prediction: HT - draw for a coefficient of 2.06 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: A total of under 1.5 goals for 2.9 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly: W1 and Under 1.5 at 3.2 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
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Odds 2,06
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Odds 2,9
Bet Type Under 1.5
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Odds 3,2
Bet Type W1 and under 1.5
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