AJ Auxerre vs Troyes Prediction: A low-scoring fixture potentially ending in a draw is to be expected

01 Apr 2023 18:00
Ligue 1, Round 29.
Stadium: Stade de L’Abbe Deschamps.
Referee:  Jérôme Brisard.
1.04.2023, 18:00
Clement Obeng Manu
01 Apr 2023
Statistics of the month:
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Odds 1,87
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AJ Auxerre vs Troyes Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │1 APRIL, 2023

On Saturday (April 1), Auxerre will face Troyes in Ligue 1 at the Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps. Auxerre is 17th in the rankings while Troyes is 18th on the table and two points behind Auxerre.

Auxerre has only 23 points after 28 games, but they have improved in recent weeks, falling only once in their last seven. That defeat, however, occurred in their final contest before the international break.

Auxerre has won one of the last five matches played while Troyes has lost all of the last five matches played. Troyes has also lost all of the last 5 games played away from home. Expect a low-scoring match with goals under 2.5. Only 2 of the last 10 Ligue 1 matches involving Auxerre resulted in goals over 2.5

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Auxerre is one point outside the bottom four and has gone three games without a victory, with draws against Nice and Rennes prompting a 2-0 loss at Strasbourg before the international break.

When you look at the broader picture, the home team have only won two of their previous 15 Ligue 1 games, with five draws and eight losses. However, Auxerre has only dropped one of their last seven league games, picking up two victories and four draws between early February and mid-March to improve their prospects of avoiding relegation.

Nonetheless, Auxerre has the fifth-worst home record in Ligue 1, having earned 14 points from a potential 39 at the Stade Abbe-Deschamps this season.

Although the Burgundy squad has the division's third-worst defensive record, they can take heart from the fact that Troyes is one of only two teams with a worse defensive record this season.

StatsPlayedWinDrawLostScoredConcededGoal diff

The away team conceded 61 goals in 28 league games this season, with no club conceding more away goals than Troyes' 39. This makes it easy to understand why Troyes is languishing in 18th position on the league table. Only relegation-bound Angers have a worse defensive record than the Grand Est side.

Troyes is presently on an 11-match league winless skid, having registered three ties and eight losses since their last triumph, with a five-game losing sequence in January and February harming the club's prospects of survival.

What is even more troubling is the fact that Troye has only won one Ligue 1 game since October 2022 which translates to just one win in their previous 20 league games. Given that no team has experienced more away losses this season than Troyes, the club from the Champagne wine area will be eager to celebrate a fourth away victory of the season before it's too late.

StatsPlayedWinDrawLostScoredConcededGoal diff.
Games played291011
Goals scored693534
Under 2.5 goals32%50%14%
Under 3.5 goals43%57%29%
Under 4.5 goals71%100%43%
Under 5.5 goals89%100%79%
Over 9.5 corners50%64%36%

Based on the statistics for each team, current form, and head-to-head, a couple of bets are worth considering. The best option is to expect under 4.5 or under 5.5 goals but that yield little return. Hence we advise betting on BTTS and a potential scoreline of 1-1. In general, a low-scoring fixture with under 2.5 goals is worth considering. Below are the expert's bets to consider. 

  • BTTS for 1.87 odds (1xbet);
  • Under 2.5 for 1.868 odds (Coinplay);
  • Draw for 3.5 odds (bet365).
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Odds 1,87
Bet Type Both teams to score (GG)
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Odds 1,86
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Odds 3,5
Bet Type Draw
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