Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille Prediction: Underdogs Face Titans in Battle

Auxerre
Auxerre
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
22 Feb 2025 23:05
Marseille
Marseille
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 23
22 Feb 2025, 23:05
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps, Auxerre, France
Raphael George
19 Feb 2025
11:49
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Marseille Team Total Goals Over 1.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 22 February 2025

Round 23 of Ligue 1 on 22 February 2025 sees the interesting match-up of Auxerre – a side struggling at home – taking on high-flying Olympique Marseille. Auxerre have been in lacklustre form recently (a run of draws and losses) while Marseille, buoyed by a 5–1 thrashing of Saint-Étienne, are at the top of their game. Though unexpected events like the weather, refereeing decisions, injuries, or even a surprise red card can always throw the script out the window, our analysis cuts through the uncertainty to offer the best prediction insights for this intriguing match-up.

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Auxerre is in a bit of a jam at No. 12 with a 6W-7D-9L record. Their last game—a 2–2 draw vs. Brest—included a two-goal effort from Gaëtan Perrin that was a bright spot in an otherwise 11-match losing streak. But the defeat at the hands of Ki-Jana Hoever is another blow to manager Christophe Pélissier, with the team persisting to flounder at the back (letting in in all of their previous nine games) and lacking any creativity going forward. Their modest 36% possession and paltry 4 corner kicks in that encounter show the need for a revolutionary change if they're to beat a superior opponent.

On the other hand, Olympique Marseille comfortably sit 2nd based on a form that has yielded 14 wins from 22 games. Their recent 5–1 hammering of Saint-Étienne was characterized by influential performances from Amine Gouiri, who scored twice, as well as clinical finishes by Mason Greenwood (penalty), Michael Murillo, and Adrien Rabiot. Under the guidance of Roberto De Zerbi, Marseille have dominated the opposition with 71% possession, generated 11 massive chances, and generated 14 corner kicks in their last match. Their shooting ability and defensive solidity make them a clear favorite, especially when away from home, which is backed by a good away record.

Marseille's past also strongly suggests its own favor with a history of 5 victories, 4 draws, and just 1 victory for Auxerre in their past encounters. Second, Auxerre's trend of conceding in all 9 of their last games lends further strength to Marseille's credentials to the notion that the visitors will emerge victorious.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Ligue 1 2025/2026
01.11.25
Auxerre Auxerre
0 - 1
Marseille Marseille
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
22.02.25
Auxerre Auxerre
3 - 0
Marseille Marseille
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
08.11.24
Marseille Marseille
1 - 3
Auxerre Auxerre
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
30.04.23
Marseille Marseille
2 - 1
Auxerre Auxerre
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
03.09.22
Auxerre Auxerre
0 - 2
Marseille Marseille

Auxerre Latest Games

Auxerre Auxerre
29.11.25
Paris FC Paris FC
1 - 1
Auxerre Auxerre
23.11.25
Auxerre Auxerre
0 - 0
FC Lyon FC Lyon
09.11.25
Angers Angers
2 - 0
Auxerre Auxerre
01.11.25
Auxerre Auxerre
0 - 1
Marseille Marseille
29.10.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
3 - 0
Auxerre Auxerre
26.10.25
Auxerre Auxerre
0 - 1
Le Havre Le Havre
19.10.25
Rennes Rennes
2 - 2
Auxerre Auxerre
04.10.25
Auxerre Auxerre
1 - 2
Lens Lens
27.09.25
PSG PSG
2 - 0
Auxerre Auxerre
21.09.25
Auxerre Auxerre
1 - 0
Toulouse Toulouse

Marseille Latest Games

Marseille Marseille
05.12.25
Lille Lille
1 - 0
Marseille Marseille
29.11.25
Marseille Marseille
2 - 2
Toulouse Toulouse
25.11.25
Marseille Marseille
2 - 1
Newcastle United Newcastle United
21.11.25
Nice Nice
1 - 5
Marseille Marseille
08.11.25
Marseille Marseille
3 - 0
Brest Brest
05.11.25
Marseille Marseille
0 - 1
Atalanta Atalanta
01.11.25
Auxerre Auxerre
0 - 1
Marseille Marseille
29.10.25
Marseille Marseille
2 - 2
Angers Angers
25.10.25
Lens Lens
2 - 1
Marseille Marseille
22.10.25
Sporting CP Sporting CP
2 - 1
Marseille Marseille

✅ Tip 1 - Marseille Team Total Goals Over 1.5 @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet:

With their current goal-scoring streak and effective away form, it is likely that Marseille is going to net two or more goals. With their attacking line on the field and Auxerre's compromised defence, this bet is appealing, even with inherent match uncertainties. 

✅ Tip 2 - Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes) @ 1.70 Odds on Betway:

With Marseille's leaky defense and Auxerre's strong attack—help from Gouiri, Greenwood, Murillo, and Rabiot—it's highly probable the two sides will find the back of the net. A BTTS wager seems a reasonable proposition regardless of any eleventh-hour tactical tweaks.

✅ Tip 3 -Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.61 Odds on Bet365:

Marseille's 5–1 fireworks and Auxerre's tendency to engage in high-scoring draws hint at a goal-rich match. With Marseille's attack and the lack of solidity at the back for Auxerre, the over 2.5 goals line is very appetizing.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Marseille Team Total Goals Over 1.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,70
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Total Goals Over 2.5
Bet Now!

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