Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction: Momentum Meets Struggles in Crucial Showdown

Toulouse
Toulouse
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
26 Jan 2025 19:15
Montpellier
Montpellier
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 19 
25-Jan-2025, 19:15
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
Raphael George
25 Jan 2025
08:49
Statistics of the month:
40
19
1
66.67%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,667
Bet Type Toulouse Win
Bonus 100 EUR
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Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 26 January 2025

The match in Round 19 of Ligue 1 between Toulouse and Montpellier will have both sides in a tussle that might define their journey for the rest of the season. While Toulouse, sitting 8th, find a balance between mid-table stability and ambitions to challenge for European spots, Montpellier lies in 18th place and desperately needs points to get themselves out of the relegation zone. With so much at stake, neither side will give an inch in this match at the Stadium de Toulouse.

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Toulouse have been good in their backyard, with four wins from the last five. For Carles Martinez, indeed a pragmatic head coach, the solid defensive structure fits with fast transitions to attack. Their recent goalless draw with Lyon showed discipline but they failed to capitalize on their two big chances, though at times they seemed dominant in midfield.

The reason behind their success has been minimizing mistakes and capitalizing on set-pieces. The likes of Joshua King and Zakaria Aboukhlal have been instrumental in the attack, while their defense, marshaled by Djibril Sidibe, has remained resilient.

This becomes statistical as Toulouse have benefited in low-corner games, with 7 of the last 8 matches seeing under 10.5 corners. They are also disciplined as they hardly receive yellow cards to show for their composed gameplay. However, they will need to convert their attacking potential into goals against a vulnerable Montpellier defense.

Managed by the veteran Jean-Louis Gasset, Montpellier has had a torrid season and sit 18th with just three wins, but they do come into this game in good morale following a 2-1 win against AS Monaco with a brilliant brace from Mousa Al-Taamari. Their away form still remains abysmal, though, as they have lost all five of their last away matches.

Defensively, Montpellier have been porous, conceding 30 goals and often losing control during the opening period of the match, as witnessed when five first-half deficits occurred in their last six games. Although sporadic, their attack can be dangerous whenever Al-Taamari or Akor Adams gets in his groove. The biggest weakness of Montpellier is that they cannot control the game since they are often conceding first and failing to recover.

Their last outing saw a slight change in tactics from Gasset, with more directness encouraged, and it paid dividends. However, carrying that on with Toulouse, who are so good at the back, will be a real challenge.

Toulouse Wins: 3

Montpellier Wins: 7

Draws: 0

Recent meetings have been goal-heavy, with over 2.5 goals witnessed in the last 10 matches, while both teams have scored in 5 of the last 7. Noticeably, tactically, these matches have been pretty tight affairs often decided by individual brilliance.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
26.01.25
Toulouse Toulouse
1 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
27.10.24
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 3
Toulouse Toulouse
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
03.05.24
Toulouse Toulouse
1 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
29.10.23
Montpellier Montpellier
3 - 0
Toulouse Toulouse
Club Friendlies 2023 Club Friendlies 2023
15.07.23
Montpellier Montpellier
3 - 1
Toulouse Toulouse

Toulouse Latest Games

Toulouse Toulouse
09.02.25
Auxerre Auxerre
2 - 2
Toulouse Toulouse
02.02.25
Toulouse Toulouse
1 - 1
Nice Nice
03.11.24
Toulouse Toulouse
1 - 0
Reims Reims
27.10.24
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 3
Toulouse Toulouse
20.10.24
Toulouse Toulouse
1 - 1
Angers Angers

Montpellier Latest Games

Montpellier Montpellier
09.02.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
2 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
31.01.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 2
Lens Lens
03.11.24
Le Havre Le Havre
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
27.10.24
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 3
Toulouse Toulouse
20.10.24
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 5
Marseille Marseille

Toulouse Win - 1.667 Odds:- 

Toulouse’s excellent home form (4W in 5) against Montpellier’s poor away record makes this a solid pick.

Both Teams to Score (Yes) - 1.77 Odds:- 

Given Montpellier’s improved attack and Toulouse’s tendency to concede, BTTS has a high probability.

Over 2.5 Goals - 1.72 Odds:- 

With the last 10 H2H matches producing over 2.5 goals, this market has a strong historical basis.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,667
Bet Type Toulouse Win
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,77
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (Yes)
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!
Odds 1,72
Bet Type Over 2.5 Goals
Bet Now!

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