Stadium: MEWA ARENA (Mainz)
15.03.2025 17:30
As the Bundesliga season hurtles towards its climax, Mainz 05 welcomes SC Freiburg to the MEWA Arena in what promises to be an absorbing contest on March 15, 2025. Historically, encounters between these two sides have been closely contested, with neither team holding a significant upper hand. In their last six head-to-head meetings, Mainz has secured one win, Freiburg has triumphed once, and the remaining four games ended in draws, underscoring the competitive nature of this fixture.
Mainz 05 enters this clash in formidable form, boasting four consecutive league wins and an impressive defensive record of conceding just 0.5 goals per game at home this season. Their offensive firepower has been spearheaded by Jonathan Burkardt, who has netted 14 goals in 21 appearances, supported by playmaker Jae-Sung Lee, who has provided five assists. With an average possession of 49.4%, Mainz adopts a balanced approach, blending defensive solidity with attacking efficiency.
SC Freiburg, on the other hand, has also displayed resilience, remaining unbeaten in their last four outings. While they have been less prolific in attack, scoring 1.5 goals per game on average, their defensive unit has been watertight, conceding an astonishing 0.0 goals per game in away fixtures. Vincenzo Grifo and Ritsu Doan, both with eight goals this season, remain Freiburg’s key attacking threats. However, a slew of injuries, including key midfielder Robert Wagner and defender Manuel Gulde, could test their depth in this encounter.
With both teams exhibiting strong defensive attributes and efficient finishing, this encounter is poised to be a tactical chess match rather than an all-out attacking spectacle. Expect a game dictated by midfield battles, strategic pressing, and disciplined defensive structures.
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Mainz 05’s recent resurgence has been nothing short of spectacular. With four consecutive Bundesliga victories, they have propelled themselves into the European qualification conversation. Their home record this season has been particularly dominant, averaging 2.3 goals per game while conceding just 0.5. This speaks to their defensive discipline and ability to convert chances in front of goal.
Jonathan Burkardt remains the talisman for Mainz, delivering 14 goals in just 21 appearances, a feat that makes him one of the most clinical strikers in the league. Complementing him is Jae-Sung Lee, a creative force with five assists and six goals. The midfield duo of Anthony Caci and Nadiem Amiri has also been instrumental, controlling possession and dictating play.
Defensively, Mainz has been rock-solid, conceding only twice in their last five matches. Their well-organized backline, coupled with a high pressing system, has suffocated opponents and restricted goal-scoring opportunities. If they maintain this level of discipline, Freiburg could find it extremely difficult to break them down.
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg arrives at this contest with an equally impressive defensive record, having not conceded a single goal in their last four matches. Away from home, they have maintained this standard, allowing zero goals per game on average. Their defensive rigidity is built on a well-structured backline and disciplined midfield pressing, ensuring they remain compact and difficult to penetrate.
In attack, Freiburg relies on a fluid front line led by Vincenzo Grifo and Ritsu Doan, who have both bagged eight goals this season. While they may not boast the firepower of Mainz, their ability to create chances through quick transitional play makes them a dangerous opponent. However, injuries to key players like Robert Wagner and Merlin Röhl could disrupt their rhythm and leave them vulnerable in midfield.
With their meticulous defensive structure and pragmatic approach, Freiburg will likely set up conservatively, looking to capitalize on counterattacks. They have shown a penchant for grinding out results, making them a formidable opponent despite Mainz’s home advantage.
History of Head-to-Heads
Bundesliga 2025/2026
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Freiburg
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Freiburg
Mainz 05 Latest Games
Mainz 05
Borussia Moenchengladbach
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
Fiorentina
Werder Bremen
Stuttgart
Mainz 05
Zrinjski Mostar
Freiburg Latest Games
Freiburg 
Freiburg
Darmstadt
Mainz 05
Freiburg
Freiburg
St. Pauli
Freiburg
Freiburg
Freiburg
Freiburg
Expert Betting Tips
With Mainz’s exceptional home form and Freiburg’s offensive struggles on the road, the hosts have the upper hand. Expect Mainz to control possession, capitalizing on set pieces and quick transitions. Freiburg’s defensive resilience will keep them in the game, but their lack of cutting-edge may prove costly.
I predict a 2-0 victory for Mainz 05, with a 65% probability of a home win.
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is W1 to win for odds of 2.06 at Betway
My second prediction is under 2.5 goals for odds of 1.76 at Bet365
My final prediction is No BTTS for odds of 1.90 at 1XBet
Other predictions
