Stadium: MHP Arena (Stuttgart)
18.01.2025 19:30
The Bundesliga delivers another thrilling encounter as VfB Stuttgart takes on SC Freiburg in a clash that promises high-octane action. The history between these two sides is rich, marked by fiercely competitive fixtures and no shortage of drama. Stuttgart enters this game as a team on the rise, showcasing recent consistency that could make them formidable at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. Freiburg, on the other hand, arrives with a mixed bag of results, oscillating between moments of brilliance and vulnerability. Both teams are within striking distance of league goals, making this showdown crucial for maintaining momentum.
This fixture also holds historical significance. In 36 previous meetings, Stuttgart has emerged victorious 19 times, compared to Freiburg's 13 wins, with four draws. Stuttgart has displayed dominance on home turf, winning 10 of 17 encounters at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. Despite this, Freiburg has shown resilience, capable of unsettling their opponents with swift counterattacks and set-piece prowess.
As the teams gear up for their latest face-off, the stakes are clear. Stuttgart is looking to consolidate their position in the top half of the table, while Freiburg needs a response after recent defensive frailties. Both managers will demand their teams stay sharp, as this game could very well be decided by fine margins.
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Stuttgart's resurgence this season has been compelling. With three wins from their last five matches, including a hard-fought 2-1 triumph over RB Leipzig, they’ve shown the grit needed to navigate a demanding Bundesliga campaign. The Mercedes-Benz Arena has become a fortress where Stuttgart thrives, buoyed by passionate support from their home crowd.
Their defensive solidity has also been a hallmark, conceding only three goals across their last three league fixtures. This balance between attack and defence makes Stuttgart a formidable opponent for Freiburg.
Coach Sebastian Hoeneß will emphasize discipline and control in midfield, an area Stuttgart has often dominated in past meetings. With a history of high-scoring performances against Freiburg, Stuttgart knows the formula to succeed. If they can replicate their form, another victory seems within reach.
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg arrives at this encounter under pressure to regain consistency. Their recent form has been erratic, marked by heavy losses to Leverkusen and Frankfurt, punctuated by narrow wins over Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel. While their attack has been potent, scoring in all their last five games, defensive lapses have cost them dearly.
Christian Streich’s side relies heavily on the creativity of Vincenzo Grifo and the clinical finishing of Lucas Höler. Their ability to strike from set pieces remains a constant threat, though their defense has leaked 15 goals in the last five games. The challenge at Stuttgart will be addressing this imbalance while maintaining offensive sharpness.
Freiburg's last win at the Mercedes-Benz Arena dates back to 2022, showcasing the difficulty of playing in Stuttgart’s backyard. Yet, Streich’s men have the experience to turn the tide if they can stay compact and punish Stuttgart on the counterattack.
History of Head-to-Heads
Bundesliga 2025/2026
Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Freiburg
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Freiburg
Stuttgart Latest Games
Stuttgart
Bayern Munich
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Augsburg
Feyenoord
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Mainz 05
Freiburg Latest Games
Freiburg 
Freiburg
Darmstadt
Mainz 05
Freiburg
Freiburg
St. Pauli
Freiburg
Freiburg
Freiburg
Freiburg
Expert Betting Tips
Based on form and historical trends, Stuttgart has a 60% probability of winning, Freiburg 25%, and a draw 15%. Stuttgart’s home advantage and Freiburg’s defensive struggles tilt the odds. The predicted score is 3-1 in Stuttgart’s favour.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is high at 65%, as both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently. The probability of both teams scoring (BTTS) is also significant, around 70%, given Freiburg’s attacking threat despite their defensive frailties.
While Stuttgart appears to hold the edge, this game could still spring surprises if Freiburg’s attack capitalizes on their opportunities. Expect an entertaining affair filled with goals and moments of brilliance.
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.63 at Betway
My second prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.62 at Bet365
My final prediction is W1 to win for odds of 1.66 at 1XBet
Other predictions
