Milan vs Roma Prediction: Waiting for the Total Under Match

Milan vs Roma: Prediction for the Match on November 2, 2025

Milan is currently in fourth place in the Italian league table, three points behind Roma. Can the Rossoneri beat the Giallorossi in their home match and close the gap between them in the standings? Read our prediction for the central fixture of the 10th round of the Serie A, where we will analyze the odds, bookmaker lines, statistical trends and provide several betting options.

Milan: form and statistics

The Rossoneri took the lead in the standings after the seventh round, but then they drew twice in a row and lost the first place. At first, Milan unexpectedly lost at their own stadium in the match against Pisa. The team led by Max Allegri scored the opening goal, but conceded two and managed to equalize only in the second half - 2:2. Then, on last Tuesday, Milan played away against Atalanta. They scored through Samuele Ricci's efforts at the beginning of the match, but conceded before the break. No goals were scored in the second half and the game ended 1-1. Milan have 18 points after nine rounds in Serie A. They share third place in the table with Inter, three points behind Napoli and Roma. In terms of goals conceded, Milan has a total of seven, which is not the best result this season. However, according to expected goals for their opponents, they are in first place among all teams. Max Allegri's side is certainly one of the favorites in this year's championship, as they failed last season but are now not competing in European competitions. This gives them a significant advantage over their rivals.

Roma: form and statistics

Unlike Milan, Gialorossi did not lose any points in the last two rounds. First, last weekend, Gian Piero Gasperini's team defeated Sassuolo away from home with their favorite score this season, 1-0. Then, on Wednesday, Roma hosted Parma and proved to be stronger, with a score of 2-1. The capital team scored two goals in the second half, thanks to the efforts of Hermoso and Dovbik. However, Parma missed a goal at the very end of the game. As a result, Roma consolidated its position as leaders of the league, is currently in second place, and is only behind Napoli in additional indicators. After nine rounds, Roma conceded only four goals, the best record in Serie A. In addition, Roma are playing in the Europa League and next week they will have another game in the main stage. In the fourth round, they will face Glasgow Rangers in Scotland. Roma scored only three points in three games so far. First, Gasperini's team defeated Nice away (2:1), but then they lost to Lille (0:1) and Vitoria Pilsen at home (1:2).

Milan vs Roma: head to head statistics

The two teams met three times last season. In the league, the game ended in a draw at the San Siro (1-1), and Roma won 3-1 at home. However, Milan were playing with 10 men from the 21st minute after Santiago Jimenez was sent off. Also, in the Italian Cup quarterfinals, Milan defeated Roma at home 3-1. Tammy Abraham, who currently plays for Besiktas in Turkey, scored twice in that game. In the last 10 meetings between the two teams, Roma have won four times, Milan three times, and there have been three draws. Overall, the teams have played 203 games against each other. Milan have 86 victories, Roma 55, and there were 62 ties.

Milan vs Roma: Betting Tips & Odds

• In 13 out of the last 14 face-to-face encounters, the opponents scored goals. The odds for "BTTS- Yes" are 1.92.
• In five of Milan's last seven games, more than two goals were scored. The total goals bet (TO) odds are 2.20.
• Three of the four previous meetings between these teams ended in a draw. The draw bet is 3.15.
• Eight of the nine previous matches saw Milan keep a clean sheet. The under 1 goal odds (IT2U) are 1.57.

Milan vs Roma: Bookmakers' odds for the match

Milan are the favorites for the upcoming game. The victory odds for the Rossoneri are 2.05 with 1xbet. You can also bet on a draw at 3.15 or Roma's victory at 3.95. Roma not losing is available at 1.77.

Milan vs Roma match prediction 2 November 2025

Milan conceded only seven goals in nine rounds, while Roma conceded four. In terms of expected goals without penalties from the opponent, the Rossoneri are in first place (6.10) and the Jalorossi in fourth (8.14). Overall, both teams play well defensively and we have good reason to expect the total number of goals in the upcoming match to be low. We believe two goals is the most likely total that the opponents will score, and even fewer goals seem likely.

Our main prediction: W1 for a coefficient of 1.85 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: TU 2.25 for a coefficient 2.20 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: CS 1:0 for a coefficient 7.00 in the bet365 bookmaker.