Valencia vs Athletic Prediction: the Visitors are Overestimated

Valencia vs Athletic: Prediction for the Match on September 20, 2025

As part of the fifth round of La Liga 2025/26, Valencia will face Athletic. The game is scheduled to start on September 20 at 10 pm. Bookmakers have paired the sides, with the guests being favored to win the upcoming match. Telecomasia has provided a prediction and important statistics for the Valencia - Athletic match.

Valencia: form and statistics

Before the start of the season, Valencia played five friendly matches: losses against Castellón and Gladbach, draws with Leganés and Marseille, and a 3-0 victory over Torino. Their estimated future revenue is 172 million euros, making them the eighth team in La Liga. The first La Liga match ended in a 1-1 draw against Real Sociedad. Kubo scored the only goal for Valencia in that game. In the second match, Valencia lost 0-1 to Osasuna on the road. In the third match, they defeated Getafe 3-0. In the last match, they lost 0-6 to Barcelona. With four points, Valencia is in 15th place, three points ahead of Levante in the relegation zone.

Athletic: form and statistics

Before the start of the season, Athletic played seven friendly matches, losing six and winning only one against Ponferradina. They have the fourth most expensive squad in La Liga, estimated at around 365 million euros, being more expensive than the other three grand clubs. The Lions started the season with three wins in the first three rounds against Sevilla, Rayo, and Betis. However, during the break, they played a friendly against Osasuna and lost 0-1. After the pause, they lost to Alaves 0-1 in the derby and to Arsenal 0-2 in the Champions League opener. It's worth noting that Athletic failed to score in their last three games, all of which they lost. Before the fifth round of La Liga began, they were in fourth place with nine points, but lost to Real Madrid three points ahead.

Valencia vs Athletic: head to head statistics

The teams have met each other 99 times, with a goal difference of 190-104 in favor of Valencia. Of these matches, 59% were won by Valencia, 25% ended in a draw, and 16% were won away from home. The goal difference on Valencia's field is 305-305.

Valencia vs Athletic: Betting Tips & Odds

• It is proposed to place a bet on Valencia to win the upcoming match with a coefficient of 3.15.
• Athletic has a three-match losing streak, and the bet on them to win is also available with a coefficient of 3.15.
• The TU (total match) bet of 2.5 is available at a coefficient of 1.55, and no draws have occurred in the last three meetings between these teams.
• The line estimates the probability of a Valencia victory at 32%, and the probability of Athletic winning at 39%.

Valencia vs Athletic: Bookmakers' odds for the match

According to the quotes, around 3 goals are expected to be scored in the match. If you bet on a total of over 2.5 goals, the coefficient is 2.37. If you bet on a total under 2.5, the coefficient is 1.54. 

Valencia vs Athletic Match Prediction 20 September 2025

It seems strange that a team with a recent 3-game losing streak is the favorite in a away match against a team that lost 59% of its away games with only 16% wins in Valencia. Although Valencia was defeated by Barcelona in the previous round, it doesn't do them any credit. However, firstly, Athletic Bilbao is not Barcelona. Secondly, Valencia has not lost at home this season. Thirdly, Athletic played a difficult Champions League game against Arsenal in London last week. We believe the home team will perform well and we are backing Valencia to win in this upcoming game.

Our main prediction: W1 for a coefficient of 2.40 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Handicap 1 (+0.25) for a coefficient 1.71 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 2:1 for a coefficient 10.00 in the bet365 bookmaker.