Newcastle United vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: betting on the home team to win

Newcastle United
Newcastle United
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
05 Nov 2025 23:00
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
UEFA Champions League. Round 4
Stadium: St. James's Park (Newcastle)
Referee: Ivan Kruzliak
05.11.2025 23:00
Olesya Samkina
05 Nov 2025
13:29
All time statistics:
2210
2131
17
50.71%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,65
Bet Type W1 + Total Over 1.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Newcastle United vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction for the Match on November 5, 2025

Prediction for the UEFA Champions League match which will be held on November 5. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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After the Champions League third round match against Benfica and a 3:0 victory over the Portuguese, the Magpies played three matches on the domestic stage. During this period, Newcastle won the League Cup over Tottenham with a score of 2:0, in the Premier League Victoria over Fulham 2:1 and beat West Ham 1:3. In the English championship standings, Newcastle ranks 13th with 12 points and 2nd place. The gap from Bournemouth, located in the European Cup competition, is 6 points. Newcastle's home stats are 12th in the Premier League, +3=0-2, 8:6 goal difference, however, it's worth noting that the Magpies lost their home matches to Liverpool, the reigning English champion, and Arsenal. Newcastle's home stats are 12th in the Premier League, +3=0-2, 8:6 goal difference.

In the Champions League, Newcastle played three matches, starting with a 1:2 home defeat against the powerful Barcelona, continued with a 4:0 away victory over the Belgian Union and a 3:0 home victory over the Portuguese Benfica. Overall, the results are very decent, considering that the Magpies gave battle to one of the strongest clubs on the planet and defeated the middle European twice. Before the start of the 4th round of the Champions League, Newcastle was in eighth place in the draw standings with six points, ahead of ninth Barca in goal difference.

After a 3:1 home victory over Qarabag in the third round of the Champions League, the Basques played two La Liga matches. They have a home defeat 0:1 against Getafe, away loss 2:3 against Real Sociedad in the derby. The results in La Liga are mediocre, just like Newcastle's in the Premier League. After 11 rounds played in the Spanish championship, Athletic is in 11th place in the La Liga standings with 14 points. The gap from Espanyol, located in the European Cup competition, is four points, the gap from Valencia, located in the relegation zone, is five points.

In the Champions League, the Basques started with two consecutive defeats. The Lions lost 0:2 to Arsenal on home ground, while the Basques were defeated by Borussia Dortmund on the road 1:4. In the third round of the Champions League, the first victory over Qarabag came 3:1, which allowed the Basques to rise to 21st place in the Champions League standings. The gap from Juventus, which is outside the top 24, is one point, while the gap from Newcastle, which is in the top 8, is three points.

The teams had previously met three times, twice in the 1994 European Cup and once again in 2022 as part of a friendly match. No draws were recorded, two meetings were won by the British, one by the Spaniards.

  • No draw was recorded in Newcastle's home matches in the 2025/26 season. You can place a bet on 12 with a coefficient of 1.22 on the 1xbet line.
  • Newcastle have a 4-match home winning streak. You can place a bet on W1 with a coefficient of 1.43 using the bet365 line.
  • Athletic have a 5-match series without wins on the road. You can place a 1X bet with a coefficient of 1.11 using the betway line.
  • Athletic have 4 defeats in their last five matches. You can place a bet on W1 with a coefficient of 1.44 on the line of bet365.
  • In the matches between the teams, no draw was recorded. You can place a bet on 12 with a coefficient of 1.22 on the 1xbet line.

Bet365 analysts consider Newcastle to be the favorite of the match. The victory of the British is estimated at a coefficient of 1.47. You can bet on the success of Athletic with an index of 6.80, and you can bet on a draw with a coefficient of 4.50.

The bookmaker believes that the confrontation between Newcastle United and Athletic will be rich in goals. You can bet on a total over 2.5 with a coefficient of 1.83, and on a total under 2.5 for 1.97

Betway experts believe that Newcastle United and Athletic will exchange goals in the upcoming game. You can bet on BTTS – Yes with an index of 2.03, and BTTS – No for 1.77.

The Spaniards look weak, both in La Liga and in the Champions League. Newcastle has pretty good statistics on their own field, considering that the Magpies have six wins in 9 home wins, and defeats only from top clubs such as Liverpool, Barcelona and Arsenal. In general, the Northerners have a 4-match series of home wins, while Athletic has a 5-match series without wins on the road with 4 defeats during this period. We are on the home team's side, and we believe that Newcastle will achieve victory in the upcoming game. As for the total, we hope that the meeting will be rich in goals.

Our main prediction: is W1 + Total Over 1.5 for a coefficient of 1.65 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is Handicap 1 (-1.5) for a coefficient 2.23 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 3:1 for a coefficient 12.00 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,65
Bet Type W1 + Total Over 1.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,23
Bet Type Handicap 1 (-1.5)
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 12,00
Bet Type Correct Score 3:1
Bet Now!

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