CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Prediction: Fierce Canadian Rivals Clash in Crisis

CF Montréal
CF Montréal
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
17 May 2025 21:30
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Football, USA, MLS
17.05.2025, 21:30
Saputo Stadium, Montreal, Canada
Raphael George
15 May 2025
07:32
Statistics of the month:
26
12
0
68.42%
Statistics
Odds
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Bookmaker
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Odds 2,01
Bet Type Under 2.5 Goals
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CF Montréal vs Toronto FC: Prediction for the Match on May 17, 2025

Prediction for the MLS match which will take place on May 17. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Despite breaking the winless streak, there is still that lingering doubt if they are really building the momentum now. The 1-0 win over New York City FC on May 10 was the club's first of the 2025 MLS season and first since September 2024 (source: www.espn.com). Prince Owusu scored the only goal in the 48th to end an unfavorable 11-match winless run. That goal was so much more important, not just for the score on the board but also for a team that needs some bits of confidence after many days of uncertainty and with not much to talk about tactically.

Now ranked 15th in Eastern Conference with a record of 1-3-8 (source: www.sofascore.com), CF Montréal has made their predicament obvious. They have often been slow starters, going down first in 7 of their last 9 games (source: www.sofascore.com) while their home form of DLLDL shows they are yet to create any real momentum at Stade Saputo. Despite impressive flashes by Owusu and particularly the young goalkeeper Jonathan Sirois, Montreal is still asking questions.

They also have an extremely-packed schedule ahead of them, with another big match for the TELUS Canadian Championship quarterfinal against Forge FC on Tuesday, May 21 (source: www.cfmontreal.com). Will the NYCFC win ignite the spark or could it just be a pit stop on their road of misery?

🔖 Expected Lineup: Sirois, Bugaj, Neal, Petrasso, Waterman, Saliba, Herbers, Piette, Sealy, Owusu, Vrioni (source: www.football-lineups.com)

⛔️ Out: D. Yankov, G. Campbell, Gennadiy Synchuk, Bryce Duke (source: www.besoccer.com)

👤Head coach: Marco Donadel 

CF Montreal Latest Games

CF Montreal CF Montreal
01.06.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
0 - 3
New England Revolution New England Revolution
29.05.25
Inter Miami CF Inter Miami CF
4 - 2
CF Montreal CF Montreal
25.05.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
2 - 2
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
17.05.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
1 - 6
Toronto FC Toronto FC
15.05.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
1 - 1
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
11.05.25
New York City FC New York City FC
0 - 1
CF Montreal CF Montreal
04.05.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
1 - 2
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
26.04.25
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
1 - 0
CF Montreal CF Montreal
20.04.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
0 - 0
Orlando City Orlando City
13.04.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
0 - 1
Charlotte FC Charlotte FC

Toronto FC Latest Games

Toronto FC Toronto FC
01.06.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
0 - 2
Charlotte FC Charlotte FC
29.05.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
1 - 2
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
25.05.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
1 - 2
Nashville SC Nashville SC
17.05.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
1 - 6
Toronto FC Toronto FC
15.05.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
0 - 1
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
10.05.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
2 - 0
DC United DC United
03.05.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
0 - 2
New England Revolution New England Revolution
26.04.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
0 - 1
New York City FC New York City FC
20.04.25
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
0 - 1
Toronto FC Toronto FC
12.04.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
0 - 0
Minnesota United Minnesota United

Winning finally engraved itself in the memory bank of Toronto FC fans when the side emerged victorious by two goals to nil against D.C. United at BMO Stadium, an end to a three-game losing streak (source: torontofc.com). A spell of magic from Lorenzo Insigne saw him find the target once and also assist in a D.C. own goal, courtesy of defender Lucas Bartlett. The win was well-earned on all fronts, with the home side composed at the back and goalkeeper Sean Johnson being outstanding—and making it into the MLS Team of the Match-Week with Insigne (source: torontofc.com).

A loss aside, the Reds sit 13th in the East with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses (source: sofascore.com). Things are about goal-scoring. Seven of their last eight games have finished under 2.5 total goals, and they are finding it difficult to translate possession into attack (source: www.sofascore.com).

Away from Toronto, the Reds are very vulnerable. Their road record of LLLDW indeed says victories come very rarely when away from Toronto. All the same, the team is easing its way into form, with solid performances from Bernardeschi and Brynhildsen abating the attacking burden placed on Insigne.

Toronto has worries with injuries, but their stars of yore are beginning to show signs of life-and wouldn't mind revenge on their minds following a shootout loss to Montréal in the Canadian Championship earlier this month.

🔖 Expected Lineup: Johnson, Petretta, Rosted, Long, Flores, Thompson, Coello, Bernardeschi, Insigne, Brynhildsen, Corbeanu (source: www.football-lineups.com)

⛔️ Out: . Cimermancic, J. Osorio, Henry Wingo, D. Kerr, B. Laryea (source: www.besoccer.com). 

👤Head coach: Robin Fraser 

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The CF Montréal-Toronto FC rivalry is certainly one of the more intense ones in Canada, and the recent history truly reflects that drama. The impression we might get is that Montréal dominated the last 10 outings, taking 7 wins while Toronto could only manage 3. The latter-most meeting in the Canadian Championship ended 2-2 in regular time, with Montréal emerging from penalties 3-2 (source: www.sofascore.com). 

There are goals when these two collide: 5 of the last 7 games have gone above 2.5 goals, while both teams have touched the scoreboard in 5 of those. Yet card-wise, things are rather chill, with less than 4.5 cards given out in 5 of the last 6 (source: www.sofascore.com). 

History of Head-to-Heads

Major League Soccer 2025 Major League Soccer 2025
17.05.25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
1 - 6
Toronto FC Toronto FC
Canadian Championship 2025 Canadian Championship 2025
01.05.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
2 - 3
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Major League Soccer 2024 Major League Soccer 2024
21.07.24
CF Montreal CF Montreal
0 - 1
Toronto FC Toronto FC
Major League Soccer 2024 Major League Soccer 2024
19.05.24
Toronto FC Toronto FC
5 - 1
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Major League Soccer 2023 Major League Soccer 2023
21.08.23
Toronto FC Toronto FC
2 - 3
CF Montreal CF Montreal
  • CF Montreal had 1 win in 12 games this season
  • CF Montreal had only 1 win in 5 home games
  • 4 of CF Montréal’s last 6 games finished under 2.5 goals
  • Under 2.5 goals occured in 7 of Toronto's last 8 matches
  • Toronto recorded just 1 win in last 5 away games
  • Toronto recorded under 4.5 cards in 6 of last 8 matches
  • Montréal has won 7 of last 10 meetings vs Toronto
  • Both teams scored in 5 of last 7 meetings
  • Over 2.5 goals was scored in 5 of last 7 meetings
  • Under 4.5 cards occured in 5 of last 6 encounters

After CF Montréal had their first win of the season, instability continues to affect the side as a whole. The resurgence is slowly gaining momentum in Toronto FC, further fed by the recent rivalry history. On a trend basis, a low-scoring tight match is probable, considering the attacking issues faced by both sides as well as their preference for low-scoring affairs as of late. Still, there are men who can make a difference in an instant: think Insigne or Owusu.

It will be a high-tension match with goals on both ends and some decent value from the more low-risk statistic-related wagers.

Below are my betting tips for the match 

🏅 My prediction:- Under 2.5 Goals with a coefficient of 2.01 Odds on 1xbet 

🏅 My betting tip:- Both Teams to Score – YES with a coefficient of 1.63 odds on Betway 

🏅 My main betting tips:- CF Montréal or Draw with a coefficient of 1.60 odds on Bet365

Odds
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Odds 2,01
Bet Type Under 2.5 Goals
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Odds 1,63
Bet Type Both Teams to Score – YES
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type CF Montréal or Draw
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