20.10.2024, 04:00
BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston, USA
The MLS Western Conference match between Houston Dynamo and LA Galaxy on October 20, 2024, will be an encroaching affair since both clubs have a lot at stake with regard to positioning in the playoffs. Houston Dynamo are sitting 5th in the standings and have been on a rollercoaster so far into the season amid highly inconsistent results of late. The LA Galaxy has been in stellar form, occupying the top of the table with a streak of impressive wins as they seek to nail their spot as one of the elite teams in the league. This is really going to be one of the most important tests for either team as they fine-tune their approach for the playoffs.
Grab Welcome BonusHouston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo lost 3-0 to St. Louis and will need to regroup quickly if they hope to be among the top seeds in the playoffs. In that match, they maintained 59% possession, but a red card to Franco Escobar got them out of rhythm and never allowed them a chance for a comeback. Ben Olsen's men go for the return of the attacking sharpness at home, where they do relatively well in a well-balanced 4-4-2 formation. But inconsistency in form over the last five games - 2W, 1D, 2L, insinuate that they might find some difficulties with the red-hot LA Galaxy side.
Home team Houston Dynamo are expected to emphasize keeping possession of the ball, so as to control the pace of the game. Most importantly, Ben Olsen's favored 4-4-2 system leans a lot on width and crosses from the sides, with midfielders rushing into the area. With Escobar suspended, fullbacks will be more conservative in this match, and it would be critical to achieve defensive stability against the high-flying Galaxy attack. Hence, Houston try to keep tight lines, not allow Galaxy an early goal, and work with set-pieces and fast transitions to punish the spaces that Galaxy give them with their attacking play.
LA Galaxy
The Galaxy are in form at just the right time under Greg Vanney, taking four from their last five. Their 2-1 victory over Austin showed how capable they can be in breaking down backdoors, firm and refusing to get rattled by strong opponents. Key men like Riqui Puig, with his two assists and nine successful long passes, have shone bright in the Galaxy 4-3-3 system that has been displaying fluidity while showing tactical discipline. Coming into this game with three straight wins, this will give them another very great avenue to continue flexing their muscles for the postseason.
The LA Galaxy have been very effective with the 4-3-3 system this season, and Greg Vanney might want his team to press high using energy-filled midfielders to win crucial duels that will feed their front three with surgical passes. This could be crucial in carving out huge chances from wide areas and exploiting transition moments of play. However, defensively, LA Galaxy has shown some vulnerabilities, particularly with six goals conceded in their last six matches, meaning they have to improve their shape at the back lest they begin giving chances to Dynamo.
Head to Head
The historical rivalry between these two teams is very tight, with LA Galaxy holding a slight edge. In their last 20 meetings, Galaxy managed to win 8 times, Houston Dynamo 6, while 6 matches ended in draws. These clashes often feature plenty of goals, with five of the last six encounters producing over 2.5 goals. Houston has a minor psychological advantage since they have scored first in four of the last five meetings with Galaxy, but Galaxy won the last one 2-1 in May 2024.
Expert Betting Tips
Houston Dynamo face an uphill task against league leaders coming off a heavy 3-0 loss. The attack has been spasmodic, and they will miss the defensive presence of Franco Escobar. While they can control possession, recent defensive frailties-three goals conceded in their last match-will be a concern. Their penchant for starting games in bright form, as they have scored first in four of their last five games against Galaxy, may grant them the early advantage. They however must be clinical in converting their chances since Galaxy is well-known to strike back quickly.
LA Galaxy, however, are the form team. With three consecutive wins in a telling run of form, they have seen both their ability to score and concede alike in high-scoring encounters. In their last six games, for example, both teams have scored; their games always have more than 2.5 goals, making them one of the most entertaining teams to watch in MLS with GG 6/6. They have to shore up their defense, but the attacking power, coupled with the superior form, makes them favorites going into this contest.
- Away Win/Draw + Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.09 Odds
- Away Win/Draw + Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.90 Odds
- Away DNB @ 2.50 Odds
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