Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders 2025: Cascadia Derby MLS Prediction and Betting Tips
The Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders clash on May 18, 2025, at Providence Park ignites the Cascadia Derby, one of MLS’s fiercest rivalries. The Timbers, with a strong home form (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), aim to extend their dominance (5W-1L-3D in last 9 H2H matches) over a Seattle side reeling from a 4-0 loss to LAFC. With Felipe Mora’s goals and James Pantemis’ saves bolstering Portland, and Albert Rusnak’s assists driving Seattle, expect both teams to score and over 2.5 goals. Can Phil Neville’s tactics outshine Brian Schmetzer’s strategy, or will the Sounders defy their away struggles?
Claim Welcome Bonus🏠 Portland Timbers: form and statistics
One of the most iconic rivalries in North American soccer-Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders-hosts their 123rd Cascadia Cup edition destined to be a fiery affair. The Timbers enter this derby in high spirits, positioned 4th in the Western Conference with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. Portland remain unbeaten in their last three games, including a resiliency at Providence Park, where their home record reads WDWDW.
Their most recent outing came through as a 0-0 draw against Real Salt Lake-an unusual result as 5 out of Portland's last 7 matches ended on an over 2.5 goals note. Portland usually get off to fast starts, netting first in 5 of their last 7, as cards stay below 4.5 in four of five matches. Their set pieces are also kept in check, not to go above 10.5 corners over the course of six matches.
Leading the charge with his 4-season goals is Antony for the Timbers. Venezuelan marksman Kevin Kelsy is getting into his stride since having been registered from Shakhtar Donetsk in the winter. They are building momentum under head coach Phil Neville and will look to ride this wave all the way through against Seattle, aided by a capacity crowd at home.
📝 Portland Timbers Lineup
🔖 Expected Lineup: Crépeau, Mosquera, Miller, Bravo, Župarić, Paredes, Ortiz, David Costa, Moreno, Antony, Kelsy
⛔️ Out: Zac McGraw, J. Pantemis, J. Fory
👤Head coach: Phil Neville
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✈️ Seattle Sounders: form and statistics
The Sounders are 6th in the Western Conference, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses. The form has looked promising of late-WDWWL; however, the team has conceded goals five times on the bounce, raising profound concerns over the defensive rear ahead of the derby.
After this, the one day on the road very well could turn into one bad day. The team will have to tighten up very quickly. With the away form so shaky already at LWDWL, things need to be tidier very soon. Having scored valves above 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches post their loss to LAFC, the Sounders have very much had the goings-under 10.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 games, involving tight and intense battles.
Moving on, the Sounders are set for a brilliant summer as they prepare to represent MLS at the FIFA Club World Cup stage against global giants like Botafogo, Atlético Madrid, and Paris Saint-Germain. An extraordinary transfer window from June 1 to 10 will see the club attempt to reinforce the squad, though for now, they will be looking at silencing their fiercest rivals.
📝 Seattle Sounders Lineups
🔖 Expected Lineup: Thomas, Kossa-Rienzi, Gómez Andrade, Tolo, Bell, Leyva, João Paulo, De la Vega, Ferreira, De Rosario, Rothrock
⛔️ Out: J. Morris, J. Ragen, P. Arriola
👤Head coach: Brian Schmetzer
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🤝 Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Head-to-Head Statistics
The Cascadia Cup comes with unpredictability, but Portland has conquered recent domination, winning five in the last 10 meetings against Seattle, who just had one win in this stretch. Their last meeting in the 2023 MLS season was a 1-1 draw, showcasing how close the rivalry is. In these clashes, Seattle have now allowed goals for the 4th straight meeting. In 5 out of the last 7, both teams have scored, while in 5 of the last 6 meetings, there have been less than 10.5 total corners, which spells midfield battles rather than lightning-fast end-to-end play.
History of Head-to-Heads
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📉 Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Betting Tips and Odds
- Portland Timbers are unbeaten in 3 matches and they recorded 5 wins in last 10 vs Seattle (Portland double chance ~ 1.6 Odds).
- Over 2.5 goals was seen in 5 of Portland’s last 7 and in 4 of Seattle's last 5 (Over 2.5 goals ~ 1.76 Odds).
- Portland scored first in 5 of last 7 games (Portland to score first ~ 1.98 Odds).
- Under 4.5 cards was shown in 4 of Portland’s last 5 (Under 4.5 cards ~ 1.65 Odds).
- Portland had Under 10.5 corners in last 6 games and in 6 of Seattle's last 7. Also occurred in 5 of the last 6 H2Hs (Under 10.5 corners ~ 1.419 Odds).
- Seattle conceded in 4 consecutive matches and BTTS occured in 5 of last 7 Cascadia Cups (BTTS Yes ~ 1.6 Odds).
🎯 Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Match Prediction
The Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders match on May 18, 2025, at Providence Park is set to be a Cascadia Derby classic. With both teams to score and over 2.5 goals likely, Portland’s home form and H2H dominance make them slight favorites for a 2-1 win, driven by Felipe Mora and Antony. Seattle’s Albert Rusnak will keep it close, but their away struggles and recent 4-0 loss could prove costly. Expect a passionate, high-scoring affair in this iconic MLS rivalry.
Below are my predictions for the match:
🏅 My prediction:- Both Teams to Score – Yes with a coefficient of 1.60 Odds on 1xbet
🏅 My betting tip:- Under 10 Total Corners with a coefficient of 1.83 odds on Bet365
🏅 My main betting tip:- Portland to Win or Draw with a coefficient of 1.6 Odds on Betway
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