Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott Prediction: Each fighters stands a chance by decision

Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott: Prediction and odds on the Match on 07 December, 2025

Experience meets youth as Henry Cejudo faces Payton Talbott in a key bantamweight fight. Cejudo’s career has been mismanaged. He left the sport at its peak, a double champion, hoping for a bigger payday. Instead, he spent three years on the sidelines. Since returning, he’s fought three times, and his performance has dropped each time. Check out our UFC odds series for the Cejudo-Talbott prediction and pick. Who do you think will win?

Henry Cejudo recent form

Henry Cejudo stands 5'4" and weighs 135 lbs. His record is 16 wins and 3 losses, with most victories coming in the past decade. Since 2020, Cejudo has fought once and lost by split decision in the fifth round against Aljamain Sterling for the UFC Bantamweight title. Sterling landed more punches, focusing on Cejudo's head. Cejudo is known for his strong kicking and his ability to feint from a distance, making his boxing effective. He launches quick combinations, then retreats just enough to land powerful counterattacks with his right hand. Cejudo (16-5-0) is one of MMA's most accomplished fighters. The former Olympic gold medalist and two-time UFC champion combines world-class wrestling with sharp boxing. His wins over Demetrious Johnson, Marlon Moraes, and TJ Dillashaw show his ability to compete at the highest level. Recently, Cejudo has faced tough losses to top contenders like Sterling, Merab Dvalishvili, and Song Yadong. Even in defeat, he showed resilience and flashes of the sharpness that once made him a champion. At 37, this fight is his chance to prove he’s still a world-class competitor. His wrestling and control of distance remain a major threat.

Henry Cejudo Strength

Cejudo's technical skills remain strong despite recent setbacks. He has a 47% striking accuracy and averages 1.84 takedowns per 15 minutes. His 76% takedown defense shows his wrestling is elite. His striking defense stands at 59%, proving he's more than just a wrestler. He also controls the fight, averaging nearly 3 minutes of control time per fight.

Payton Talbott recent form

Payton Talbott (10-1-0) is an exciting young fighter in the bantamweight division. He’s tall for the weight class, standing 5'10" with a 70.5-inch reach. Talbott is known for his aggressive striking and fight-ending power, with seven knockouts in his career. His UFC performances show creativity and confidence on the feet. After a loss to Raoni Barcelos, Talbott bounced back with a dominant win over Felipe Lima. He’s gone 4-1 in the UFC since 2023. This will be his toughest test yet, but he’s coming in as the moderate favorite. Talbott’s style features long straight punches, athletic movement, and a fast-paced approach. However, he has never faced a fighter with Cejudo's technical skills, wrestling ability, or championship experience. Talbott will need to avoid being controlled on the ground, keep his distance, and stay disciplined for all 15 minutes to win.

Payton Talbott Strength

Talbott is a force. He’s never been knocked out or fatigued, and he fights with relentless confidence. He pressures opponents with a mix of punches, kicks, and aggression. In this fight, Talbott needs to make Cejudo work. It won’t matter if he’s taken down or hit, as long as he keeps pushing forward. With his size and high output, Talbott can win by not letting Cejudo recover.

Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Talbott should stay aggressive on the feet. He needs to throw combinations and mix in body punches to make it harder for Cejudo to change levels.
• Talbott should hit whatever target is available, using kicks, especially front snap kicks. A strong round kick to Cejudo’s open side would be tough for him to counter.
• Cejudo has lost his last three fights to Aljamain Sterling, Merab Dvalishvili, and Song Yadong. He’s the underdog in this fight. Standing 5'4" with a 64-inch reach, he’ll look to bounce back.
• This fight shows a clash of career stages. Talbott has youth, speed, and momentum as a rising prospect. Cejudo, with his experience, can’t be underestimated. While Talbott’s reach and striking bring danger, Cejudo’s wrestling and strategy could neutralize those strengths.

Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott Prediction

I find it hard to see how Cejudo wins. He never built much of a top game, so his once world-class wrestling isn’t as threatening. We’re not talking about fighters like Islam Makhachev or Khamzat Chimaev. When was the last time Cejudo submitted someone from top position or landed heavy elbows? He doesn’t do much from the top unless his opponent is exhausted, like Marlon Moraes. Talbott doesn’t need to play it safe on the bottom. If taken down, he can get right back up and make Cejudo work. On the feet, Cejudo might be the cleaner boxer, but he won’t like taking Talbott’s strikes. I expect Cejudo to start strong, but then it will all fall apart.

Our first prediction is Fight to go the distance (Yes) - 1.60 odds for 1xbet

Our Second Prediction is Payton Talbott to win by decision - 2.05 odds for Bet365

Lastly, +3.5 Spread Henry Cejudo - 1.86 odds for Betway