MotoGP Valencia Grand Prix Prediction: Can Bagnaia secure his maiden title?

With a 23-point advantage over defending champion Fabio Quartararo, Francesco Bagnaia could win his first MotoGP World Championship this weekend in Valencia.

Bagnaia secured a win last time out in Sepang, his seventh of the season, three more than Enea Bastianini in second, the Ducati rider would need to finish lower than 14th and Quartararo win to lose the title.

Bagnaia will be World Champion in Valencia if this happens:

- Quartararo doesn’t win;

- He finishes P14 or higher;

- He finishes P15 and Quartararo doesn’t win.

Quartararo will be the world Champion in Valencia if… He wins and Bagnaia is P15 or lower.

We had a good race in Malaysia. I really enjoyed it, and it was nice to be back on the podium again. Winning the championship will be very difficult now. Of course, I will give my 100% as always, but I‘m not going to stress too much about the championship title. It‘s the final GP of the season, and I want to enjoy it and end it with a good result.

Speaking to the press, Quartararo said

A really important weekend for us is about to begin, but I arrive in Valencia calm and serene. The Circuit Ricardo Tormo is a track where we were fast last year, and on paper, it suits the characteristics of our bike. There will be a lot of Ducati fans here, as well as my family, my friends, and my fan club, so I hope to give them all some great emotions on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Bagnaia said to the press

Expert Betting Tips

Given all the scenarios, it seems highly unlikely that Quartararo could win the championship at Valencia and thus Bagnaia is the clear favorite to win the championship. Quartararo and Marc Marquez are the favorites to win the race.

• Fabio Quartararo wins the race Yes for 4.0 at 1xbet;
• Marc Marquez to win the race Yes for 4.20 at vbet;
• Marc Marquez to win the race Yes for 4.0 at melbet.