Alexander Bublik vs Daniil Medvedev: Prediction for the Match on June 22, 2025
The grass courts of Halle, Germany, are awaiting an epic showdown as the ATP 500 Terra Wortmann Open final is scheduled for June 22, 2025, at 4:00 PM local time. The OWL Arena, a fortress of tennis on grass, will host two men with different styles and stakes from each other. Bublik, the unpredictable shot-maker, is riding a wave of form after dispatching world No.1 Jannik Sinner, whereas Medvedev-the mastermind-is eager to end his 25-month drought and lay claim to his supremacy. This final is absolutely a gambler's dream and a fan's fantasy with an extremely one-sided head-to-head and grass-court dynamics. Now let's delve into the contest, present the many trends, and dish out three razor-sharp betting tips to dominate the action.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇰🇿 Alexander Bublik
The unpredictable Kazakh Bublik-Claude is 28 years old, handling bursts of brilliance. The serve and trick shots are legends in their own right. At 6'6", a great grass-court menace who uses pace and spin to throw opponents off. Former Halle champion (2023), Bublik is playing his best in 2025, having racked up a 25-16 record that includes a Turin Challenger title and a Phoenix Challenger final appearance. Nearly untouchable in Halle, he lost one set en route to the final, beating Alexandre Muller, Jannik Sinner, Tomas Machac, and Karen Khachanov. The semifinal victory over Khachanov on June 21, 2025, was essentially a masterclass in clutch play, winning 7-6(4), 7-6(2) with 18 aces, 79% points won on the first serve, saving 3 out of 4 break points, and converting 1 out of 7 break points in just 1:45. On the grass in 2025, he's 6-1, winning 63% of points on his first serve and converting 35% of break points. Bublik's upset of Sinner in the second round sent shockwaves through Halle, with ESPN labeling it a "career-defining run". Tennis TV's X post raved about his "electric grass-court game" after the semifinal (@TennisTV, June 21, 2025).
🇷🇺 Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev, aged 29, the Russian and the current No. 11 in the ATP rankings, is the former World No. 1 with 20 ATP titles, though his last came in Rome 2023. His suffocating baseline game and pinpoint return abilities combined with tremendous fortitude of the mind give Medvedev substantial threats on grass courts when coupled with a 3-4 record in the semifinals. Medvedev's 2025 record sits at 22-12, with semifinals in Marseille and Indian Wells. Halle has witnessed him on top form, dispatching Dominik Koepfer, Alex Michelsen, and Alexander Zverev without losing serve. In the Halle semis of June 21, 2025, he made the win over Zverev a tough one: 7-6(3), 6-7(1), 6-4, in which he served 14 aces, won 82% of his first-serve points, saved 5 out of 6 break points, and converted just 1 out of 5 break points over 2 hours 58 minutes. Current grass record stands at 4-1 in 2025, with 80% of first-serve points won and 25% of break points converted. Medvedev's triumph over Zverev showcased his first final appearance since March 2024, with Sportstar calling it a "grass-court resurgence" (). His "I'm feeling strong and ready" statement was shared with Tennis Majors despite the nosebleed during the match (). X: posts from @ATPTour (June 21, 2025) praised him for “holding his composure under pressure,” while fans on X have begun to speculate about a comeback into the top 10 (@TheTennisLetter, June 21, 2025).
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👥 Alexander Bublik vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Statistics
The record that somehow looms large in this final is Medvedev leading Bublik 7-0 (6-0 on the ATP tour). Their most recent encounter came recently in Madrid on 30th April 2024, with Medvedev prevailing 7-6(3), 6-4 (). Medvedev remains victorious in all seven meetings against Bublik, including in 5 straight-set victories. They rated their sole clash on the grass when they met in a Wimbledon 2021 exhibition, which Medvedev very comfortably won. Bublik's style, relying on big serves and high risks, has, time and again, fallen flat against Medvedev's rock wall in defense, with the return game of the Russian essentially neutralizing what was Bublik's biggest weapon. Scores24 highlights Medvedev's "baseline resistance" as the deciding factor.
Alexander Bublik vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Tips and Odds
- Medvedev’s 7-0 record against Bublik, with five straight-set wins, makes him a lock for a 2-0 victory.
- Bublik averages 15 aces per match in Halle 2025, with 79% first-serve points won. Over 10.5 aces for Bublik is a safe bet.
- Four of Medvedev’s last five Halle matches saw first-set tiebreaks, mirroring Bublik’s knack for close openers.
- Medvedev has saved 85% of break points faced in Halle 2025, supporting under 1.5 breaks for Bublik
- Bublik’s last three Halle matches surpassed 22.5 games, fueled by tiebreaks and long rallies. Over 22.5 games is a strong pick
🎯 Alexander Bublik vs Daniil Medvedev Match Prediction
With a 7-0 record against each other and 82 percent of first-serve points to his credit, Medvedev enters the contest as the favorite. Medvedev’s straight-sets victory over Bublik in Madrid 2024 is seen by Scores24 as confirmation of the former’s advantage in experience.
An enhanced game count could be forthcoming due to Bublik’s tiebreak-laden matches and Medvedev’s grinding style. Three of Bublik’s Halle matches and two of Medvedev’s already have gone past 22.5 games, a trend supported by StatsInsider’s simulations.
The 18 aces Bublik had against Khachanov and the 79 percent of first-serve points won underscore his early-stage firepower. Bublik took Sinner to a tiebreak in Halle, and Tenngrand praised his form on grass as "stratospheric." An early momentum could help him clinch the first set- especially if Medvedev’s nosebleeds persist.
Daniil Medvedev to Win 2-0 @ 2.55 odds (Bet365)
Over 22 Total Games @ 1.6 odds (1xbet)
Alexander Bublik to Win First Set @ 2.08 odds (Betway)
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