The 2025 Australian Open quarterfinal pits the Italian prodigy and world number one, Jannik Sinner, against the eighth-ranked Australian speedster, Alex de Minaur. While Sinner remains the juggernaut on court with his ultra-aggressive baseline game, de Minaur is the man who, propelled by the energy of home support, can always rely on his indefatigable defense and unparalleled court coverage. With the stakes so high and their head-to-head skewed so heavily in Sinner's favor at 9-1, this is shaping up to be a scintillating contest full of drama and storylines.
Claim Welcome BonusJannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner heads into the quarterfinals in scorching hot form, as his path so far has been pretty clinical, dropping just two sets in four rounds of action. Serving solidly, Sinner sent down 14 aces against Holger Rune in his 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 fourth-round victory, though at a relatively modest 57% first-serve percentage. Elite on return, Sinner converted some critical break points while continuing to be outstanding on break points saved, converting 80%.
Sinner has been untouchable on Melbourne's hard courts, as his aggressive style seamlessly transitions from defense to offense. The superior head-to-head record against de Minaur-finding success on Australian soil in a straight-set win in the 2024 Davis Cup-only adds psychological weight to his rivalry with the Australian right-hander.
Alex de Minaur
Equally impressive has been Alex de Minaur, who has relied on his quickness and tenacity to ease through his matches so far. His 3-0 result over Alex Michelsen in the previous round was enough to bring out some of his great skill: his returning ability, especially, as he took 40% of first-serve return points 6-0, 6-7, 6-3. The fact that De Minaur can turn defense into attack, together with his mental toughness, makes him a tough opponent in front of an Australian crowd eager for a local hero to triumph.
However, he has only one win in ten tries against Sinner and will have to find ways to get the Italian out of rhythm and capitalize on any service inconsistencies.
Expert Betting Tips
Alex de Minaur to Win a Set @ 1.64 Odds on Betway:
While Sinner is favored, de Minaur’s grit and support from the home crowd could allow him to steal a set.
Set Betting – Sinner 3-1 @ 3.25 Odds on Bet365:
De Minaur’s resilience will test Sinner, but the Italian’s firepower should prevail in four sets.
Total Game - Over 31.5 Games @ 1.6 Odds on 1xbet:
With de Minaur’s defensive prowess and Sinner’s occasional first-serve lapses, the match is likely to feature multiple extended rallies and games.
Other predictions
