Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction: Alcaraz’s Grass Dynasty - Unstoppable or Vulnerable?

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
22 Jun 2025 16:00
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri Lehecka
Tennis, ATP 500, London, Great Britain, Final
22 June 2025, 16:00
Andy Murray Arena London England 
Grass Court 
Raphael George
22 Jun 2025
00:35
Statistics of the month:
28
28
1
49.12%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,76
Bet Type Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 Handicap
Bonus 100 EUR
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka: Prediction for the Match on June 22, 2025

The Andy Murray Arena at Queen’s Club is ready for a blockbuster on June 22, 2025, when World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz squares off against Jiri Lehecka for the ATP 500 London final. Alcaraz, a man with two Wimbledon titles, is a frightening force on grass courts, but Lehecka, the very first Czech to make a top-tier grass final in 15 years, has the wind of fearless upsets at his back. This match is more than just a crowning of a champion: testing Alcaraz's undefeatability against Lehecka's thirst to engrave his name among the greats. Coming even at 1-1, with recent matches too close to call, the atmosphere is totally electric. We have pelted in statistics and reaction on X alongside betting patterns to bring you this hard-hitting preview with three deadly betting tips for 1xbet, Betway, and Bet365.

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The World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz, 22-year-old Spaniard, is a five-time Grand Slam champion and a grass-court genius with a stellar 27-3 record on grass since 2023. 2023 Queen's champion and a two-time Wimbledon champion (2023, 2024), he holds a 41-5 record in 2025 and won the Rotterdam, Monte-Carlo, Rome, and French Open titles. During the Queen’s tournament, Alcaraz endured a hard-fought 3 hours and 26 minutes beating Jaume Munar 6-4, 6-7 (7), 7-5 and then coasted in the semifinals with a 6-4, 6-4 win against Roberto Bautista Agut. Last match stats: 10 aces, 80% first-serve points won, 2/3 break points converted, 25 winners, 12 unforced errors. 2025 clay stats: 16-2 (88.9% win rate), 2 titles (Rome, French Open). Alcaraz's 17-match win streak is what everyone is talking about in tennis. "I’m feeling much better on grass this year," he stated to Tennis Majors just after the Munar match. Sportstar termed his Bautista Agut win as "ruthless" (June 21, 2025). X fans are excited: “Alcarraz is a grass god. Lehecka’s got no shot” (@TennisGuru22, June 21, 2025).

The No. 30-ranked Jiri Lehecka, a twenty-three-year-old Czech, is an up-and-coming star with a booming serve and excellent anticipation. With a 24-12 record in 2025, he had a win in Brisbane and reached his first grass final at Queen’s. Lehecka defeated Alex de Minaur (6-4, 6-2), Gabriel Diallo (6-4, 6-2), Jacob Fearnley (7-5, 6-2), and No. 6 Jack Draper (6-4, 4-6, 7-5) in the semifinals. Last match stats: 9 aces, 78% first-serve points won, 3/6 break points converted, 30 winners, 18 unforced errors. 2025 clay: 5-4 (55.6%), no titles. Lehecka’s Queen’s run makes him the first Czech to reach a top-level grass final since Tomas Berdych (Wimbledon, 2010). "You don't meet a player like Jack every day," he said after the Draper match (The Straits Times, June 21, 2025). The X buzz: “Lehecka's serve is a weapon. Alcaraz better watch out” (@CzechTennisFan, June 21, 2025).

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Alcaraz and Lehcka are tied 1-1. Alcaraz crushed the 2023 Queen’s clash (6-2, 6-3), but then Lehecka turned the tables in Doha 2025 (6-3, 3-6, 6-4), putting an end to a 12-match winning streak for Alcaraz. Alcaraz leads 1-0 on grass, but Lehecka's recent win shows he has the ability to capitalize upon Alcaraz's off days. There are no notable H2H streaks; however, the Doha clash was decided in the third set, hinting at the final being closely contested.

  • Alcaraz is 10-0 on grass since 2024, with a 78% win probability against Lehecka per Dimers.com (Bet365 odds: 1.36 for Alcaraz win).
  • Lehecka’s 2025 includes wins over Alcaraz (Doha) and Draper (Queen’s), making Betway’s 3.25 for a Lehecka upset tempting.
  • Both players hold serve well (Alcaraz 84%, Lehecka 80% on grass in 2025), supporting 1xbet’s 1.90 for over 22.5 games.
  • Alcaraz won 3 of 4 Queen’s matches in 2025 in straight sets, backing Bet365’s 1.80 for a 2-0 Alcaraz victory.
  • Lehecka won 5 of 6 tiebreaks on grass in 2025, per ATP stats, boosting Betway’s 2.50 for Lehecka to win a set.

Alcaraz’s grass-dominating streak of 17 wins straight-up and 2023 Queen’s title make him the favorite to take the trophy. With an 80% first-serve win rate and a 1-0 grass H2H edge over Lehecka, it’s a must-win for him. 

Lehecka’s Doha win and his 80% hold rate mean sets can be quite competitive, especially considering his knack for tiebreaks. Sportskeeda’s preview leans toward a “close bout,” making more than 22.5 games a causal option.

Lehecka’s upset of Draper and 5-1 tiebreak record on grass mean he can steal a set even if Alcaraz ends up winning. Tennis Tonic speaks of Lehecka’s “clutch shot-making,” cementing this wager.

Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 Handicap @ 1.76 (1xbet)

Over 22.5 Games @ 1.83 (Bet365)

Lehecka to Win a Set @ 2.04 (Betway)

Odds
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Odds 1,76
Bet Type Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 Handicap
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Over 22.5 Games
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Odds 2,04
Bet Type Lehecka to Win a Set
Bonus 250 USD
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