Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini 2025: WTA 1000 Rome Final Prediction

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini 2025: WTA 1000 Rome Final Prediction

Gauff's 10-1 clay record in Madrid and Rome is a testament to her form, but the double faults (11.1% vs. Zheng) could turn out to be her undoing against Paolini's aggressive returns. Paolini's fighting spirit—coming back from 4-1 against Stearns and 4-0 against Shnaider—places her in the position to fight hard for that maybe Top 4 ranking.

🇺🇸 Coco Gauff - WTA 3rd

Coco Gauff entered the Rome final with a 5-match-winning streak and her eyes set on her first WTA 1000 clay title. Gauff made a 60.8% first serve rate in the 2025 Rome tournament, averaging 2.0 aces per match with 54% of break points saved and 54% of break points converted. The semifinal match against Qinwen Zheng was a marathon that lasted 3:32-was the longest WTA match of the year and the longest in Gauff's career. Gauff hit 16 double faults, coupled with many unforced errors. The youngster is all about crazy-long rallies-and she thrived through them with her trademark resilience and athleticism-to pull off a win in a nail-biting contest, 7-6(3), 4-6, 7-6(4). An interesting moment saw Gauff accidentally stove serve while Zheng got away to switch racquets, which brought some laughter from the crowd. Now the young American is to meet Jasmine Paolini on the final on May 17 in the afternoon at 5 p.m. (11 a.m. ET). If she manages to do so, Gauff would be the first American woman since 2016 to lift the Rome title. With Gauff entering the final full of momentum due to strong baseline play and tactical upgrades this season, she still needs to keep her focus to see off a fired-up Paolini on home turf.

🇮🇹 Jasmine Paolini - WTA 5

Jasmine Paolini has captured nationwide attention for her great performance on her way to the Rome final. The girl who is ranked No. 5 in the world comes into the championship match after five successive victories and a 7-5, 6-1 win over Peyton Stearns in the semifinals. First, she saved two set points of the first set, after which she just took off during the second set with a calm approach and with lots of variety. Her stats during the Rome campaign have been the best in the tournament, boasting a 73.2% first-serve rate, 1.6 aces per match, saving 52% of break points, and converting 45% of her own. She followed that by landing an 84% first serve and saving 71% of break points in the semifinal. With her semifinal run, Paolini has now become just the third Italian woman to reach the Rome final in the Open Era, along with Sara Errani and Raffaella Reggi. She forced her bigger hitters to make a lot of mistakes by absorbing pace and converting defense into offense. Asked about this run, she just could say, “If they had told me at the beginning of the tournament, it would have seemed impossible.” In front of a roaring home crowd and carrying career-best confidence at her back, Paolini is just a step away from making history. If she ends up on the winning side in the final, that would be the crowning glory of an illustrious career—and this is something Italian tennis will forever cherish.

👥 Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Head-to-Head Statistics

Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini have met three times on the WTA Tour, with Gauff leading the head-to-head 2-1. Paolini, however, clinched the most recent meeting at the WTA 500 event in Stuttgart last April 2025, winning 6-4, 6-3 with an assured show of skills. The first two wins from Gauff came on hard courts where she would dominate her opponents with her athleticism and aggressive baselining. On clay, on the other hand, Paolini's style is one that involves spin, variety, and point construction, posing a different kind of challenge. While Gauff has more power, with the confidence boost and form that Paolini has right now, it may just be the deciding factor in this Rome final.

📉 Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Tips and Odds

• Given the competitive nature of both players and their recent performances, the match is likely to extend to three sets (Over 2.5 sets ~ 2.36 odds).
• Both players have shown resilience in their service games, suggesting a closely contested first set (first set over 9.5 games ~ 2.21 odds).
• Considering their previous encounters and current form, the total number of games is expected to exceed 21.5 (Total games Over 21.5 ~ 1.909 odds).
• With both players displaying strong performances, it's plausible that each will secure at least one set (Both players to win at least one set ~ 2.36 odds).
• Despite Paolini's recent victory over Gauff, Coco's overall head-to-head advantage and determination to clinch her first WTA 1000 title on clay make her a strong contender (Gauff to Win ~ 1.50 odds).

🏆 Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Match Prediction

The Rome final between Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini promises to be an intense and emotional showdown. Both players enter the final on hot streaks following formidable wins in the semifinals. Gauff seeks her first clay WTA 1000, while Paolini intends to become the first Italian woman to triumph in Rome since the onset of the Open Era. It is difficult to say who leads this matchup, with Gauff on the front foot with power and Paolini with the crowd energy and her clay-court craft. Momentum shifts, extended rallies, and huge determination will spell out the whole journey. Below are my betting tips for the match:- 

🏅 My Prediction:- Gauff to win (-1.5) Handicap with a coefficient of 1.6 Odds on 1xbet 

🏅 My Betting Tip:- First set over 9.5 games with a coefficient of 1.98 Odds on Betway

🏅 My Main Betting Tip:- Over 2.5 sets with a coefficient of 2.44 Odds on Bet365