Corentin Moutet vs Alex de Minaur: Prediction for the Match on July 27, 2025

Corentin Moutet
Corentin Moutet
Start
Day
Hours
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Seconds
Finished
Live
27 Jul 2025 02:00
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur
Tennis ATP 500 Washington USA Semifinals
27 July 2025 | 02:00
Stadium Washington D.C. USA
Outdoor Hard
Raphael George
26 Jul 2025
11:22
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Bet Type Alex De Minaur in straight sets
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Corentin Moutet vs Alex de Minaur: Prediction for the Match on July 27, 2025

The ATP 500 Washington Open semifinals on July 27, 2025, will see France's Corentin Moutet taking on Australian Alex de Minaur on the outdoor hard courts of the William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Center, Washington, D.C. The lucky loser Moutet, who has now become an unseeded giant-killer this week, shall face the really consistently steady de Minaur, who is seeded seventh. Expect to see some electrifying performances from this classic-old match where fancy unpredictability clashes with baseline control!

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Currently holding a world ranking around No. 59, Corentin Moutet is doing his bit in Washington through a dream run. Initially a lucky loser who got into the main draw after Holger Rune withdrew, Moutet has not wasted time to capitalize. He went 6‑0, 6‑1 against Alexandre Müller, had the better of Dan Evans in straight sets, and came up with a huge upset over eighth seed Daniil Medvedev in the quarter-finals, rallying 1‑6, 6‑4, 6‑4.

This is after his runner-up finish in Mallorca earlier this year, which was an ATP-best for him since 2019. With records of maybe 27‑18 in 2025 at all levels, Moutet shows so much more confidence and consistency. His clever use of left-handed spin and variation, along with his grim determination, have won him a lot of admirers among the public and critics alike.

Moutet's social media buzzing revolves around his fearless shot-making and mental toughness under pressure. While technically the underdog, his unorthodox offensive approach and recent strong form would make him a threat to absolutely anyone on the tour.

World No. 13 Alex de Minaur takes to the Washington Open semi-final with poise and purpose. The No. 7 seed has certainly been among the most consistent players in 2024 on the ATP Tour. He has a 33-13 record in 2025, one of the highlights being the final run in Rotterdam, including the historic 6-0 6-0 demolition of Lorenzo Musetti in a Masters semi-final never witnessed before. 

De Minaur entered Washington with a first-round bye and has since cruised through his matches against Bu Yunchaokete, Jiri Lehecka, and Brandon Nakashima, not conceding a single set. His game is chiefly based on very good court coverage, high first-serve percentages, and unending baseline rallies.

Nicknamed "The Demon," de Minaur has been applauded for his cool demeanor and stamina, especially on hard courts. In pre-match talks, he stated that he's confident of counteracting Moutet's variety with his own combo of pace and consistency. As de Minaur aims at bagging yet another ATP 500, he goes into this match as the odds-on favorite.

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Alex de Minaur leads the head-to-head 1-0, having defeated Corentin Moutet 6‑1, 6‑3 in a Challenger match back in 2016. 

  • Moutet is 4-1 in his last five matches, putting away players like Medvedev and Evans, establishing a firm base on hard courts.
  • De Minaur, 4-1 in his five matches, has won in straight sets in all Washington matches.
  • There was just one prior meeting, back in 2016, when de Minaur won fairly easily. Thus there isn't much value one can derive from that encounter with both players having diversified over time.
  • In Washington, though, Moutet's service stats impressed as well: more than 70 percent of all the first serve points were won, and more than 57 percent of the break chances were converted.
  • Statistics for De Minaur on hard courts: winning almost 76% of first serve points, and succeeding regularly in saving break points

This semi-final is surely going to be very exciting, but Alex de Minaur has an advantage. In any case, Moutet, being in very good form and fearless, will certainly institute a fight till the end if not more. On hard courts, he has more experience, having been an ATP 500 player, and also having an enormously strong mental game.

My Top 3 betting tips:

Alex De Minaur in straight sets at 2 odds on Bet365 — His efficiency may wear Moutet down. (Rating: ⭐⭐)

Total games over 21.5 at 1.6 odds on 1xbet.com — A closely fought match with at least one long set. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)

Moutet to win at least 1 set at 1.86 odds on Betway.com — His momentum makes an upset or split-set match quite plausible. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)

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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Total games over 21.5
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Odds 1,86
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