Jiri Lehecka vs Jack Draper: Prediction for the Match on June 21, 2025

Jiri Lehecka
Jiri Lehecka
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
21 Jun 2025 15:00
Jack Draper
Jack Draper
Tennis, ATP 500, London, Great Britain, Semifinals
21.06.2025, 15:00
Andy Murray Arena London England 
Grass Court 

Raphael George
20 Jun 2025
20:57
Statistics of the month:
53
38
1
57.61%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,68
Bet Type Jack Draper to win 2-1
Bonus 250 USD
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Jiri Lehecka vs Jack Draper: Prediction for the Match on June 21, 2025

On June 21, 2025, the Andy Murray Arena of Queen’s Club will witness a tight contest as the Czech lad Jiri Lehecka takes on the Brit, Jack Draper in the semifinals of the ATP 500 Cinch Championships. Grass courts being what they are, the duel is more than just an opportunity for a final berth-the true face-off of two brave youngsters with everything to prove. Lehecka's aggression meets Draper's crowding power at home with their past encounters suggesting an almost neck-to-neck review. The betting lines are so tight that it has its stakes almost sky-high, and we go through the players' form and stats and also some betting tips that will help you cash in on this landmark event.

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At just 23 years, and ranked World No. 30, Lehecka was considered a strong force on the grass courts of Queen's. His crushing serves and penetrating net play were designed for this smooth surface, registering a 4-1 record in 2025. Kickstarting 2025 with a victory in Brisbane, Lehecka beat Reilly Opelka (4-1 ret.) in the final with first serves and quick points of domination. At Queen's, he has been practically untouchable, advancing through the draw without dropping a set. On June 20, 2025, in just 1 hour 15 minutes, 7-5, 6-2 in the quarterfinals against Jacob Fearnley, he scored 10 aces and zero double faults, won 78% of first-serve points, and converted 3 of 4 break points. Lehecka's stats make him a pretty dangerous underdog- holding serve 80% of times this year on grass and having won 35% of return games. The latest fresh news from Tennis Majors speak of a "composed performance" against Gabriel Diallo, while on X he's touted as a "dark horse for Wimbledon." A doubles loss for Taylor Fritz and Lehecka to Fearnley and Norrie on June 19, 2025, reveals that he's not perfect, but singles-wise, he is just radiant.

Jack Draper, 23 years old and currently ranked No. 4 globally, is the home favorite and a rising star carrying heavy expectations. Draper employs a powerful left-handed serve and aggressive baseline game, which have pushed him into the career-high position after winning an ATP Masters 1000 at Indian Wells in 2025. He was 3-0 at Queen's this year on grass, but his matches were grinders. He fired 12 aces in a third set 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 quarterfinal victory over Brandon Nakashima on June 20, 2025, but converted just 1/3 break points in 2:10 hours, winning only 66% first-serve points. His 66% service hold rate and 23% return games won on grass slightly lag behind Lehecka's. Sky Sports said Draper's wins over Nakashima was a "childhood dream" come true, and there is praise from other users on X concerning his mental toughness, with one commenting, "Draper's belief is carrying him through tough moments." Tennis365 cautioned that all the hype surrounding his Wimbledon seeding could prove to be a distraction, but global support theoretically gives him an advantage.

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Having a 2-1 head-to-head standing in favor of Draper, the trio have gone to three sets each time, indicating very close battles. Their most recent meeting saw them face off in Doha for the ATP 250 semifinals on February 21, 2025, with Draper staging a great comeback after dropping the first set in 3-6, 7-6, and 6-3. He had then gone on pillage in Paris in October 2024, capturing a 7-5, 6-2 victory over Lehecka. Lehecka's only win came in a hard-fought match down under at Adelaide back in January 2024, 4-6, 6-4, and 6-3. None of these were grass court matches, thus making the semifinal at Queen's a genuine new test. Draper would have the slight mental advantage from being able to hold up under pressure with moments like the Doha tiebreak, but Lehecka's aggressive style could be something Draper needs to watch out for with his inconsistent conversion of breakpoint chances on grass.

  • Lehecka hasn’t faced a break point in his last two Queen’s matches, with an 80% service hold rate on grass in 2025.
  • Draper’s 66% first-serve win rate at Queen’s and home-crowd support make him a tough out, with a 76.34% implied win probability against Nakashima.
  • Two of their three H2H matches went to three sets, and their grass-court clashes (like Nakashima vs. Draper) average over 21 games, suggesting a high total games bet.
  • Lehecka’s 35% return games won on grass in 2025 is higher than Draper’s 23%, giving him an edge in breaking serve.
  • Draper’s 32% breakpoint conversion rate at Queen’s indicates potential vulnerability against Lehecka’s solid serve.

Having explosive potential, this semifinal, each way, is like a coin toss. Unbreakable service of Lehecka and his form on grass make him a live underdog, though Draper will take a slight edge owing to his ranking, home crowd, and head-to-head record. A tight match with many long rallies and at least one tiebreak is to be expected. Below are three top tips for this exciting clash: 

Jack Draper to win 2-1 ~ 3.68 odds (Betway)

Over 22.5 total games ~ 1.74 odds (1xbet)

Tiebreak – Yes ~ 1.66 odds (Bet365)

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,68
Bet Type Jack Draper to win 2-1
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,74
Bet Type Over 22.5 total games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,66
Bet Type Tiebreak – Yes
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