French Open 2025: Boisson vs. Gauff Semifinal Preview and Prediction

France
France
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
05 Jun 2025 16:00
USA
USA
Tennis, Grand Slam, French Open, Paris, France, Semifinals
5 Jun 2025, 16:00
Court Philippe Chatrier Paris France 
Red Clay Surface 
Raphael George
04 Jun 2025
18:53
Statistics of the month:
44
29
1
59.46%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,147
Bet Type Gauff -5.5 games handicap
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Lois Boisson and Coco Gauff face off on Court Philippe Chatrier at French Open 2025 semifinals

On June 5, 2025, the French Open semifinals generate a blockbuster when the 361st-ranked French wildcard, Lois Boisson, steps onto the hallowed red clay of the Philippe Chatrier against Coco Gauff, second seed and finalist of 2022. This is not just a match but a clash of dreams and dominance. On one side, we have Boisson, a local hero riding a wave of upsets; on the other stands Gauff, a clay-court expert with a Grand Slam No. 2 title in sight. With the eruption of French cheers and Gauff's experience looming, this semifinal promises catnip for drama. We have broken down the form, stats, news, and betting information to give you the inside track on this scintillating encounter.

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Lois Boisson, a 21-year-old French player who entered the tournament on a wildcard and whose rank is No. 361, is indeed the unexpected discovery of Roland Garros 2025. With no prior Grand Slam experience of any sort—that is, in the main draw—she has been the first French woman to make it to the semifinals since 2011, a feat that set the Parisian crowd aflame. In winning on her magical journey, she relied on a strong, gritty baseline game and a fearless mentality, more highlighted by the shocking upsets of No. 3 Jessica Pegula (3-6, 6-4, 6-4) and No. 6 Mirra Andreeva (7-5, 6-3) in the quarterfinals. She has been superb in form, undefeated at 5-0 in Paris with no sets dropped in her last two matches. On June 4, 2025, during the quarterfinal win over Andreeva, Boisson hit 22 winners to eight unforced errors, converted three out of five break points, and won 70 percent of her first-serve points-a showcase of enormous composure from a rookie. Being too low-ranked, her data on clay has been limited; however, she is 5-0 at Roland Garros and is converting break points at a rate of 42.9 percent (12/28). The good thing about Boisson’s rise is that it is even more remarkable given that she tore her ACL last year and was sidelined, forcing her to miss what could have been her grand Roland Garros debut in 2024. The other thing she relied upon was mental toughness; she said: "I play for the crowd, for France, for myself." Still, some controversies remain in the air after an incident in April 2024 at the Rouen Open, where Dart's Left by Harriet's complaint about Boisson's hygiene began to stir anger, although the performance of Boisson has now shut any attacker down. She also joined others such as Gauff in voicing criticism at the French Open regarding scheduling.

Coco Gauff has a stellar resume between her 21 years: 2023 US Open and 2025 Australian Open Grand Slam winner, and 2022 finalist at Roland Garros. A clay court game aesthetically pleasing to watch and brutally efficient, the versatile playing style of a player who possesses speed and defense plus a devastating backhand makes her a formidable competitor. Her 2025 season has been phenomenal: 32-7 with two titles, one of which was Melbourne. At Roland Garros, Gauff has been almost flawless, dropping only one set on the way to the semifinals. She demolished Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-0, 7-5 and came through a thrilling three-set battle against No. 7 Madison Keys 6-7, 6-4, 6-1 in the quarter-finals, June 4, 2025. Against Keys, Gauff made 30 winners, 18 unforced errors, converted 4 of 7 break points, and won 72% of first-serve points-the last being a testament to her resilience after losing the first set. Legal statistics on 2025 clay are 10-2 with a conversion rate of 45.3% on break points (34/75). Her mental fortitude was evident in Madrid 2024 when she beat Keys on clay, turning Paris' slower conditions to her advantage with sharper angles and spin. Off-court, Gauff has spoken out about the French Open scheduling inequities, pushing for more women's night sessions. Stay focused. Says she: "Boisson's got the crowd, but I'm ready for the challenge." X posts, such as @LeDerius, show her backhand and movement as being crucial against Boisson, even though @DanWolken points out the pressure she will face against a hostile French crowd.

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Boisson and Gauff have never met, giving a crunch-time all first-time confrontation with no prior records or streaks to analyze. Such a lack of history only generates more interest-there is Boisson, fearless, wide open inducting aggression on stage with a cheering crowd, against the clay-court-experienced Gauff. Boisson brings raw power behind the baseline against Gauff's great movement and tactical versatility. The mood on X is electric, with @prince_chas_cca declaring Boisson’s run “unreal,” while @Cbetgg called her “French idol” into the semi-finals. On the other hand, @LeDerius believes in Gauff’s experience and the ability of her backhand to assert itself. There being no head-to-head will make it a pure test of who performs better in the moment and possesses the stronger mental fabric under the Parisian spotlight.

  • Gauff’s 10-2 clay record in 2025 and 2022 French Open final run make her a formidable favorite on this surface.
  • Boisson’s back-to-back top-10 wins (Pegula, Andreeva) and 5-0 Roland Garros record show she thrives under pressure as an underdog.
  • Gauff has won the first set in four of her five French Open matches, suggesting a strong start against Boisson.
  • Gauff’s matches have gone under 20.5 games in three of her five Roland Garros wins, reflecting her ability to close out efficiently.
  • Boisson’s 42.9% break point conversion rate and low error count (8 vs. Andreeva) indicate she can keep rallies competitive.

This semifinal is a David-versus-Goliath-style clash—Boisson's fairytale run versus Gauff's championship pedigree: Dimers odds suggest a 71% win probability for Gauff at 1.23, citing her dominance on clay; SI.com and VegasOdds also weigh extremely in her favor given her experience and 10-2 clay record. However, The Independent does note a slight upset chance for Boisson with her low error unforced rate and the crowd support. After having gone through the stats and trends, I feel that Gauff will win in straight sets. Her versatility, movement combined with a 45.3-breakpoint conversion rate should be too much for Boisson's unfashionably Dutch defense, though the French spectators will make it tough. In terms of betting, go Under 20.5 games (1.828) since Gauff has efficiently won three matches under 20.5 games, suggesting this will be a quick victory. The biggest tip is Gauff -5.5 games handicap (2.147) as Gauff could easily dominate rallies, which along with Boisson's relative inexperience at these levels, makes it safer than going for the moneyline, especially with her 3-1 clay record against top-10 players this year.

Odds
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Odds 2,147
Bet Type Gauff -5.5 games handicap
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Odds 1,828
Bet Type Under 20.5 games
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Under 22 @
Bonus 100 EUR
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