Casper Ruud vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas: Prediction for the Match on May 26, 2025

Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
26 May 2025 12:00
Spain
Spain
Tennis, Grand Slam, French Open, Paris, France, R128
25 May 2025, 12:00
Paris, France 
Red Clay Surface
Raphael George
24 May 2025
08:49
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,71
Bet Type Ruud in 3 sets
Bonus 100 EUR
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Casper Ruud vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas French Open 2025 R128 match on clay court

The first day of the French Open 2025 is amazing with a Round of 128 clash at Roland-Garros as Casper Ruud of Norway faces an on-paper inferior opponent in Albert Ramos-Vinolas of Spain. Given his better record-9-1-current form, and Madrid Open 2025 triumph behind him, Ruud enters with odds of 1.055 also. Ramos-Vinolas has won 8 and lost 2 lately but has betting odds of 9.5, hoping to upset the favorite with a 10-7 record on clay. The head-to-head scoreline is 4-4, with Ruud having won the last four encounters. More exciting now with the clay surface in play. 

Which will it be: Ruud's Roland Garros expertise or Ramos-Vinolas's clay grinder endurance? Our analysis goes deep into the stats, trends, and news to drop some slick betting info for this opening-round treat- so keep reading!

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Casper Ruud enters the Roland Garros clay court as if a Viking warrior entering his ancestral battlefield to conquer. Rank No. 7 in ATP, Ruud comes on the back of 9-1 form with a fine record of 12-3 on clay in 2025. The one-sided loss of 6-0, 6-1 to Jannik Sinner showed 1 ace, 2 double faults, 52% first serves in, 43% first serve points won, 3/9 break points saved, and 0 break points converted. 

The clay stats in 2025 still read 62.6% first serves in, 66.2% points won on the first serve, 89.7% on the second serve, 3.3 aces per match, 2.6 double faults per match, 71% on break points saved, and 37% on break points conversion. 

Hot off the Madrid Open win against Fritz, Medvedev, and Draper, Ruud's comeback, buoyed by psychological support after burnout, seemingly bestows upon him the axe of a clay titan. With finals in 2022 and 2023 and a semifinal here in 2024, a four-match H2H winning streak over Ramos-Vinolas sends him off to a good start.

Albert Ramos-Vinolas is gliding onto the Roland Garros clay with all the grace and flair of a seasoned matador. With the very topspin forehand, he is prepared to wrestle any bull that has come his way. Currently ranked number 248 by the ATP, Ramos-Vinolas entered 2025 on an 8-2 winning streak, going 10-7 on the clay. 

His latest win over Andrea Collarini in the French Open qualifiers capped a cruel 2-6, 1-6 series, where he hit 3 aces and 0 double faults; first serve percentage was 70, and 72 points of 100 were secured on his first serve. On break points, he saved five out of five and converted five. Clay stats for 2025 show: 67.9% first serve percentage, 66.9% first serve points won, 94.7% points won on second serve, 2.3 aces per match, 1.2 double faults per match, 63% break points saved, 38% break points converted, and 100% of tiebreaks won. 

An athlete famed for stamina and heavy topspin, he may offer stiff resistance with the 4-match H2H in Ruud's favor, while recent form and comfort on clay position him as the spoiler.

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It is now 4-4 between Ruud and Ramos. However, Ruud has prevailed in the last four encounters, including the 1-6, 3-6, 1-6 defeat he gave Albert at the 2024 Australian Open R128. Whether on the basis of break point saves by Ruud, who saves 71 percent compared to Ramos-Vinolas' 38 percent conversion, Ruud has recently been winning sweetly.

On clay, Ruud holds a 12-3 record, plus the final experience at Roland Garros (2022, 2023). Still, Ramos-Vinolas has managed a 10-7 clay record, although his win rate in tiebreaks might be a factor. 

This match pits Ruud's consistency versus the stamina of Ramos-Vinolas, history being on the side of the Norwegian.

  • Ruud’s 12-3 clay record and 71% break point saves make him a lock to win at 1.055 odds
  • Ruud’s 3-0 H2H wins and recent form suggest under 30.5 games (1.83 odds).
  • Ramos-Vinolas 100% tiebreak win rate on clay offers value for a tiebreak in the match (2.80 odds).
  • Ruud’s 3-0 H2H wins and recent form suggest under 30.5 games (1.83 odds).
  • Ruud’s dominance (e.g. 2024 AO win) supports the -8.5 games handicap at 1.77 odds.
  • His 72% first serve points won (last match) makes over 1.5 aces a safe bet (1.65 odds).

With a 12-3 clay streak, a 71% service break-point saves and a 4-match H2H streak over Albert Ramos-Vinolas, Casper Ruud (1.055) assumes the role of the favorite. Remember that Ramos-Vinolas brings his 8-2 record on clay into the picture with his 100% tiebreak record, but his 10-7 record and 38% break-point conversion pale in comparison to Ruud, who can carry his Roland Garros pedigree (2022, 2023 finals) on his back. 

Ruud's Madrid victory presents a new mental twist to his advantage, while Ramos-Vinolas' endurance will aim to stretch the rallies. Expect Ruud to conquer in straight sets, where he will dictate points through his baseline game.

Below are the top picks for this crunchy opener:-

Match Prediction: Ruud in 3 sets @ 1.71 Odds on 1xbet 

Bet Tip: Ruud -8.5 games @ 1.77 Odds on Bet365

Main Bet Tip: Under 30.5 games @ 1.80 on Betway

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,71
Bet Type Ruud in 3 sets
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,77
Bet Type Ruud -8.5 games
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Under 30.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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