Emiliana Arango vs Qinwen Zheng: Prediction and odds on the Match on 28 May 2025
An electrifying Round of 64 clash at Roland Garros is scheduled for May 28 as Colombia’s Emiliana Arango (WTA 85) clashes with China's Qinwen Zheng (WTA 7). Zheng goes into this one a 1.034 favorite with a 7-3 record and most recently a clean 2-0 win over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in the R128, while Arango is aiming to produce the upset in the 11.7 odds after she happened to be 4-6 and just came in from a tough 2-1 fight against Alexandra Eala.
Their H2H stands at 1-0 in favor of Zheng, but Arango's talent on clay could pave the way for an upset. Scheduled to begin at 12:00 GMT, our analysis dives into stats and trends to produce crisp betting picks. Read on!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇨🇴 Emiliana Arango: form and statistics
Like a Colombian wildfire, Emiliana Arango is a force sweeping across the clay of Roland Garros, with her fierce determination tearing through the red clay! WTA 85-ranked Arango in 2025 stands at 4-6 in form and 4-5 for clay. She defeated Alexandra Eala in a 0-6, 6-2, 3-6 R128 wherein she had 0 aces, 5 double faults, 66% first serves, 61% first serve points won, 2/5 break points saved, and 6 break points converted.
Clay statistics for 2025 stand as 74.9% first serve, 53.1% first serve points won, 81.8% second serve, 0.6 aces/match, 3.7 double faults/match, 45% break points saved, 46% break points converted, and 100% of tiebreaks won.
Arango's recent run at WTA 125 Parma ended in R1 but with clay experience (winning 47% of service games over the last year) she stands to gain, though the double faults might hurt against Zheng’s returns.
🇨🇳 Qinwen Zheng: form and statistics
Qinwen Zheng glides on the Roland Garros clay like a Chinese dragon, injecting power and flight over the Parisian courts! Ranked WTA 7, Zheng carries a 7-3 form and 7-3 clay record in 2025. She boxed her way past Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova with 6 aces and 4 double faults in 6-4, 6-3 in R128. She had 57% first serve, 83% first serve points won, 1/4 break points saved, and 5 break points converted.
Zheng has Clay stats of 52.6% first serve, 69.3% first serve points won, 87.5% second serve, 3.9 aces/match, 3.1 double faults/match, 54% break points saved, 47% break points converted, and 0% tiebreaks won. Being the 2024 Olympic gold medalist of Roland Garros, Zheng disallowed a custom Nike outfit for R128 due to design concerns.
Despite the 2025 arm injury, she is a credible title contender owing to her semifinal run in Rome; however, Arango's return will be a challenge to her.
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Emiliana Arango vs Qinwen Zheng Head-to-Head Statistics
Emiliana Arango and Qinwen Zheng have met once before, with the latter emerging victorious 6-4, 6-4, at the ITF Hamburg Qualifier 2021. Zheng boasts a 7-3 clay record and hits 47% on break points, versus Arango’s 4-5 and 46%, while on the save portion of break points, Zheng powers in at 54% and Arango 45%.
Arango tops Zheng 100 to 0 in tiebreak win percentage on clay, but in the first serve points won category, Zheng owns 69.3% to Arango’s 53.1%. Zheng’s experience on the big stage gives her the advantage in this clay rematch.
Emiliana Arango vs Qinwen Zheng Betting Tips and Odds
- Zheng's 7-3 clay record and 83% first serve points won make her a lock at 1.034 odds
- Arango's 45% break point saves support +7.5 games at 1.71 odds.
- Zheng’s 2-0 H2H win and Arango’s 3.7 double faults/match suggest under 17.5 games at 1.76 odds.
- Zheng’s 47% break point conversion backs the -7.5 games handicap at 2.09 odds.
- Arango's 53% first serve return points offer value for over 2.5 break points valued at 1.80 odds.
Emiliana Arango vs Qinwen Zheng Match Prediction
Qinwen Zheng (1.034) dominates with a 1-0 H2H record against Arango, 7-3 on clay, and winning first serve points at a rate of 69.3%, against Emiliana Arango, who has a 4-5 clay record and 53% of first serve return points indicating some fight, but 3.7 double faults per match hurt her against Zheng, who saves 54% of break points.
Zheng won her Round of 128 match while having the Olympic gold run weighed heavily at Roland Garros, so delivering straight set wins shouldn't be difficult, even if her 0% tiebreak win could come to haunt her.
Below are the top betting picks for the match:
Prediction: Zheng -6.5 games @ 1.60 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Zheng -7.5 games @ 2.09 Odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Under 17.5 games @ 1.76 Odds on Bet365
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