Quarterfinals.
USA vs Brazil.
Stadium: Unipol Arena (Bologna).
20.07.2022 19:00
The two previous matches between these teams ended on the total over of points and a total over 48.5. It is very likely that the third game will be the same in terms of heat and length.
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The Americans played their best in Week 1, winning all matches. Moreover, they outaplayed three teams that eventually made the playoffs. There, in Brazil, they gave up only three sets in four games.Then, in week two, when DeFalco stepped up, things got worse: two losses in four games, including a three-set one to Iran. In Week 3, when Micah Christenson joined the team, they four times again and gave up five sets - in three sets they defeated only weak Canada.
By all statistical indicators, the first week was the best for Speraw's charges. Even DeFalko and Christensen the block didn't improved, they did not have more aces, but the number of serve errors has increased. In the last eight games the Americans lost their serve more than four times per game on average.
Another detail: in the first week games with the U.S. total of 8.5 aces was broken only once, and in the next eight games - five times, mostly due to the unsuccessful reception of the Americans.
Brazil
The Brazilians failed four times in the group stage, with one game to an outsider, China. By the way, the Americans did not lose to teams that did not make the playoffs.
The Brazilians played all three weeks in a very familiar manner. In particular, they eased their serves when they didn't see much point in taking risks, and, conversely, forced if the coach said so. We saw the same picture last summer in Tokyo. As a result, the team averaged 3.9 servу errors per game, but against the strongest teams of the tournament, this figure reached 4.5.
So, eight and a half errors per game gives an approximate 34 errors over four games. As for aces, the Brazilians ended up 3:0 against Japan having only seven aces. With the other playoff participants the total of aces was from eight to 16.
Expert Betting Tips
Bookmakers believe that the teams are roughly equal, and the match is likely to continue after three sets. We agree with them. Consequently, it makes no sense to consider choosing any of the total under bets.
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