Durham vs Hampshire Prediction, Vitality Blast - Playoffs, 5th September 2025

The upcoming T20 quarter-final in the Vitality Blast 2025 between Durham and Hampshire on September 5 promises to be an exciting match in one of England’s top domestic T20 competitions. Durham, from the North East, have shown consistent form in the group stages, combining experienced internationals with promising young players. Hampshire, from the South Coast, are known for their strong bowling attack, tactical approach, and success in domestic T20s. Let’s examine the preview and provide predictions.

Durham vs Hampshire: Date and Time of the Match Start

• Match: Durham vs Hampshire
• Date: Friday, 5th September 2025
• Kick-Off Time: 20:30 (AEST)
• Stadium: Banks Homes Riverside, Durham, United Kingdom, United Kingdom

Interesting Facts About Teams

Durham finished in second place in the North Group, while Hampshire Hawks finished third in the South Group.

In their only previous head-to-head in this format, Hampshire Hawks won by 55 runs.

Weather Report before the Match

Although it's September, the temperature in Chester-le-Street could reach 18 degrees for the toss, dropping to 14 degrees by the end of the match. The outfield is spacious but not the quickest for batters. A par score in the first innings is expected to be no higher than 180. With humidity likely to rise during the game, both teams will probably prefer to bowl first to avoid a damp outfield later on.

Durham vs Hampshire: Chances of Winning

Durham may not have as many big names as other teams in the competition, but they are a hard-working, consistent unit that finished second in the North Group, just behind Lancashire. Durham’s chances of victory will depend on early wickets and strong performances from their top three. Playing at home with crowd support and familiarity with the conditions could be a decisive advantage.

Hampshire Hawks enter this match with confidence after finishing third in the South Group. Known for their strong T20 Blast history, they have shown resilience throughout the season, including their recent One-Day Cup semifinal victory over Yorkshire, highlighting their balanced squad and composure under pressure.

Durham`s chance of winning - 49%

Hampshire`s chance of winning – 51%

Durham Preview

Captain Alex Lees has been in excellent form, scoring over 400 runs in the group stage, including an unbeaten century against Northants Steelbacks. His steady batting, especially in the middle and death overs, is crucial for Durham. David Bedingham, along with opener Graham Clark, will also play key roles in the batting lineup. Clark’s aggressive starts can set a strong tone, and if he performs well, Durham could post a big total.

In the middle order, Colin Ackermann and Ollie Robinson provide depth with both bat and ball. Ben Raine and Will Rhodes offer all-round skills, giving captain Lees several bowling options.

Matthew Potts is expected to lead the bowling attack, using his swing and ability to strike in the middle overs. Spinner Callum Parkinson will be key, especially on the Riverside surface, which favours spin. Nathan Sowter and Codi Yusuf add variety, making Durham’s bowling attack well-rounded.

Key Players: Graham Clark, Alex Lees (c), David Bedingham

Durham Players List

Graham Clark, Alex Lees (c), David Bedingham, Colin Ackermann, Ollie Robinson (wk), Will Rhodes, Ben Raine, Matthew Potts, Codi Yusuf, Nathan Sowter, Callum Parkinson

Hampshire Preview

Captain James Vince remains a key batter at the top of the order, known for his ability to accelerate in the powerplay. Joe Weatherley and Hilton Cartwright provide stability in the middle, able to anchor the innings or attack depending on the situation. Vince’s runs will be crucial, and all-rounder Liam Dawson, who returned to the England Test squad earlier this summer, is also in good form. With the ball, pacer Scott Currie, who impressed in the Hundred and T20 Blast group stages, is expected to be a threat. Hampshire will be confident as they travel north for this quarter-final clash.

Key Players: Toby Albert (wk), James Vince, Joe Weatherley, Hilton Cartwright

Hampshire Players List

Toby Albert (wk), James Vince, Joe Weatherley, Hilton Cartwright, Benny Howell, James Fuller, Liam Dawson, Fletcha Middleton, Scott Currie, Chris Wood (c), Andrew Neal

Durham vs Hampshire Head-to-Head

Considering their last five matches together, Durham has come on top with three wins and the rest being a draw. Their last meeting which was in February this year ended in a draw.

Head-to-Head Record

• Total -5
• Durham - 3
• Hampshire - 0;
• Draw - 0

Who will win the match, Durham vs Hampshire?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday`s Durham vs Hampshire Vitality Blast- Playoffs: Quarter-Finals match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Hampshire a 51% chance of beating Durham in the Vitality Blast- Playoffs: Quarter-Finals match of the 2025 season.

Durham vs Hampshire Prediction

This quarter-final is expected to be closely contested, with Durham’s pace attack challenging Hampshire’s batting depth and Hampshire’s spin options testing Durham’s middle order. Durham will look for aggressive starts and quick runs in the death overs, while Hampshire will focus on controlled innings and tactical bowling changes. Given current form, squad balance, and T20 experience, Hampshire are slightly favored, especially due to their playoff experience and tactical discipline. Hampshire's disciplined bowling and fielding should give them the edge over Durham’s strong pace attack and explosive hitters.

Our First prediction is Hampshire to win the toss - 1.90 odds for dafabet bookmaker

Our second prediction is Hampshire to win - 1.80 odds for 1xbet bookmaker

Our third prediction is Under 356.5 Total Match Runs - 1.83 odds for bc.game bookmaker