Date: Saturday, 4th October 2025
Kick-Off Time: 09:15 (AEST)
Stadium: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, New Zealand
New Zealand will settle scores with Australia for the final time in this series at the same Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui on Saturday. Australia lead the series 1-0 after the second game was abandoned due to non-stop rain. Let's dive into the preview and offer predictions.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!New Zealand vs Australia: Date and Time of the Match Start
- Match: New Zealand vs Australia
- Date: Saturday, 4th October 2025
- Kick-Off Time: 09:15 (AEST)
- Stadium: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, New Zealand
Interesting Facts About Teams
Australia have won four of their last six T20Is against New Zealand, with one ending with no result.
Australia have won four of their last six T20I games, with one ending with no result.
Australia lead this series 1-0 after a six-wicket win in the first game.
Weather Report before the Match
The second game of this series was disrupted by rain, and the weather forecast for this game at the venue is unclear, with a 10% chance of rain. The wind is expected to move at 8–12 km/h southwest, and the breeze is expected to assist bowlers. Nevertheless, the pitch will remain friendly to batters.
New Zealand vs Australia: Chances of Winning
After the second T20I between Australia and New Zealand in Mount Maunganui was abandoned after 2.1 overs due to heavy rain, Australia return to this third game as the favourites, more or less like the second game. The Aussies lead the series and their is high hope that they will continue their dominance over their neighbors, New Zealand.
New Zealand's chance of winning - 32%
Australia's chance of winning - 68%
New Zealand Preview
After losing the first game of this series, New Zealand entered the second game with the hope of tying the series. New Zealand won the toss and chose to bowl first before the rain forced them to abandon the game. The team made three changes to the lineup, with Sears, Neesham, and Sodhi replacing Foulkes, Jamieson, and Jacobs. In the first round, they had lost by six wickets with strong batting from Tim Robinson (106*) and Daryl Mitchell (34), reaching 181/6, but that wasn’t enough to grab the win.
Key Players: Michael Bracewell, Kane Williamson, Finn Allen, Lockie Ferguson
New Zealand Players List
Michael Bracewell (c), Devon Conway (wk), Tim Seifert (wk), Bevon Jacobs, Tim Robinson, Mark Chapman, Zakary Foulkes, Daryl Mitchell, Rachin Ravindra, Jacob Duffy, Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, Ben Sears, Ish Sodhi.
Australia Preview
Australia continue to sit in the driver's seat in this series after leading the series 1-0 in the first game with a six-wicket win over New Zealand through a good performance from Mitchell Marsh (85 off 43 balls). However, their hope of making it two wins in two games was dashed after rain disrupted the second game after 2.1 overs, with Australia at 16/1. Nevertheless, Australia hope to complete their series with a win in this game to continue their dominance over New Zealand.
Key Players: Mitchell Marsh, Xavier Bartlett, Tim David, Ben Dwarshuis.
Australia Players List
Mitchell Marsh (c), Sean Abbott, Xavier Bartlett, Alex Carey, Tim David, Ben Dwarshuis, Josh Hazlewood, Travis Head, Matt Kuhnemann, Mitchell Owen, Josh Philippe, Matthew Short, Marcus Stoinis, Adam Zampa.
New Zealand vs Australia Head-to-Head
Australia and New Zealand have met 21 times in T20I clashes. Australia have won 14 times, New Zealand have won 6 times, and one has ended in a no-result. Australia remained unbeaten in the last five T20I games against the two sides.
Head-to-Head Record
- Total - 21
- Australia - 14
- New Zealand - 06
- Draw - 00
- No Result - 01
Who will win the match, New Zealand vs Australia?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's New Zealand vs Australia T20 International match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Australia a 68% chance of beating New Zealand in the 2025 T20 International match.
New Zealand vs Australia Prediction
While the second game of this series was disrupted by rain, the key takeaways from the first game show that Mitchell Marsh is a reliable batter. The fact that the series is open will likely motivate him to come out in full strength to bat. Not only that, I think we will see a high-scoring game here.
Our first prediction is Mitchell Marsh to score 50 (First innings) — 3.50 for Bc.game Bookmakers
Our second Prediction is Total Over 176.5 — 1.92 odds for 1xBet Bookmaker
Our Third Prediction is New Zealand to win the toss - 1.92 odds for Dafabet bookmaker
Other predictions