Surrey vs Northamptonshire Prediction: Surrey to advance to the next round

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03 Sep 2025 20:30
Match: Surrey vs Northamptonshire
Date: Wednesday, 3rd September 2025
Kick-Off Time: 20:30 pm (AEST)
Stadium: Kennington Oval, London, United Kingdom
Olakunle Emmanuel
02 Sep 2025
15:19
Statistics of the month:
3
2
2
42.86%
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Surrey to win
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Surrey vs Northamptonshire Prediction, Vitality Blast 3rd September 2025

Northants won their only previous T20 Blast meeting with Surrey by 102 runs (DLS) in August 2013, lifting the trophy at Edgbaston. Now, the playoffs begin with Surrey facing Northamptonshire in the first quarter-final on September 3 (Wednesday). The match will start at 20:30 pm (AEST) and promises to be an exciting contest. Both teams are just one victory away from reaching Final's Day next Saturday. This match may come down to which side handles the pressure better. Let’s examine the preview and offer predictions.

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  • Match: Surrey vs Northamptonshire
  • Date: Wednesday, 3rd September 2025
  • Kick-Off Time: 20:30 pm (AEST)
  • Stadium: Kennington Oval, London, United Kingdom


Surrey won their last five group-stage games

Northants Steelbacks managed only two wins in their final five matches in the North Group.

This will be the first T20 meeting between Surrey and Northants since August 2013.

After a long heatwave, England and London are back to their typical weather, with rain forecast during the day and overcast skies expected throughout the match on Wednesday evening. Expect humid conditions and a tense atmosphere when the game kicks off. The Oval remains one of the best cricketing venues in the UK. With a fast outfield and a quick wicket, run-scoring is always possible at this venue.

Will Jacks will not feature for Surrey in this game as he is away on England duty, having played in the opening ODI against South Africa in Leeds just a day earlier. This creates an opportunity at the top of the order, and we expect the experienced Jason Roy to step in and take on the role.

Northants Steelbacks started their North Group campaign with six straight wins, but then lost five in a row and six of their final eight games. As a result, they enter this quarter-final against strong opposition without much momentum, following a heavy nine-wicket loss to Durham in the group stage.

Surrey`s chance of winning - 66%

Northamptonshire's chance of winning - 34%

Surrey’s lineup is full of players capable of scoring big, with their all-rounders ready to hit boundaries from the start. With the ball, they have strong pace options in Reece Topley, Chris Jordan, and Jamie Overton, while Jordan Clark enters the game in excellent white-ball form.

Key Players: Ryan Patel, Jason Roy, Ollie Pope

Ryan Patel, Jason Roy, Ollie Pope, Sam Curran (c), Dan Lawrence (wk), Tom Curran, Laurie Evans, Jordan Clark, Chris Jordan, Yousef Majid, Reece Topley

David Willey was the standout player for Northants in that win and is expected to play a key role again, both with bat and ball, as they take on a strong Surrey side. However, their squad has plenty of experience, with David Willey and Ravi Bopara bringing valuable international experience. Matthew Breetzke will lead the batting, while Ben Sanderson and George Scrimshaw are likely to spearhead the bowling attack with the new ball.

Key Players: Ricardo Vasconcelos, Saif Zaib, David Willey (c)

Ricardo Vasconcelos, Saif Zaib, David Willey (c), Ravi Bopara, George Bartlett, Luke Procter, Lewis McManus (wk), Ben Sanderson, George Scrimshaw, Lloyd Pope, Tim Robinson

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches between these teams, Surrey has won once, and Northamptonshire has won twice. In their most recent fixture, Northamptonshire won 357-327.

  • Total - 3
  • Surrey - 1
  • Northamptonshire - 2
  • No Result - 0

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday`s Surrey vs Northamptonshire Vitality Blast match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Surrey a 66% chance of beating Northamptonshire in the Vitality Blast match of the 2025 season.

Surrey leads the Vitality Blast South group with 44 points, while Northamptonshire sits in 4th with 32 points. These standings add weight to the upcoming match between the two teams. In their last five meetings, Surrey has won once, and Northamptonshire has won twice. Their most recent encounter on September 19, 2023, saw Surrey winning with a score of 185/10 and 142/0 against Northamptonshire’s 357/10 and 0/0. Surrey has been more consistent overall, winning four of their last ten matches, while Northamptonshire has won just one of theirs. Both teams will look to gain momentum from this match. Given the recent form and statistics, Surrey is likely to win and progress to Final's Day. Northants, strong earlier in the season, will be up against a confident Surrey team that has been in winning form.

Our First Prediction Surrey to win - 1.60 odds for 1xbet

Our Second Prediction Over 354.5 Total Match runs - 1.83 odds for BC.Game

Our Third Prediction is Surrey to win the toss - 1.90 odds for Dafabet

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