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Permitta vs UNGENTIUM Prediction: the Outsider is Underestimated

22 Nov 2022
12:45
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ESL Challenger League Season 43 Europe.
Lower Bracket Round 1.
Format: BO3
22.11.2022     21:00
Odds 2,11
Bet Type Maps TO (2.5)
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On November 22, Permitta will face UNGENTIUM. The Polish team has not been exciting lately, but how will they perform in the encounter?

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Permitta

  • Current HLTV rating: #79.
  • Last three months' changes: -12.
  • Best map in terms of win rate: Mirage - 80% for five maps.
  • Worst map in terms of win rate: Ancient - 43% for seven maps.

Permitta's squad could look better. The players are mediocre; over the past three months, they've had very few games.

At the same time, bookmakers confidently put them as favorites. It's a little strange if they are only guided by the HLTV rating, which leaves much to be desired.

Permitta does have an excellent chance to win, but who says it will be easy? The team needs maps where they feel confident, and the lack of proper practice will obviously affect them.

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UNGENTIUM

  • Current HLTV rating: #86
  • Last three months changes: -30.
  • Best map in terms of win rate: Ancient - 50% for 20 maps.
  • Worst map in terms of win rate: Overpass - 0 for seven maps.

UNGENTIUM is ranked a little lower, but we don't understand why they're underestimated. Four players have been in the same lineup for about a year. A month ago, they were joined by a promising newcomer. Recently, the Poles have been showing decent results in games with great opponents.

Of course, the first thing that sticks out is that UNGENTIUM has a mediocre winning percentage on most cards. But that is leveled out by the fact that they have been playing too many matches lately. This is when practice only benefits.

The game will likely be even, although UNGENTIUM will have a good chance to win.

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Expert Betting Tips

Such a difference in odds looks unfair. The underdog will prove themselves and score a decent number of rounds. We expect the game to be interesting and tight, with UNGENTIUM taking at least one map.

Odds 2,11
Bet Type Maps TO (2.5)
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Odds 1,62
Bet Type Maps H2 (+1.5)
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