Independiente vs Instituto Prediction: Can Independiente get their first win at home?

In the upcoming fixture of Argentina Primera División, Independiente will face Instituto at the Estadio Libertadores de América in Avellaneda. The home side head here after a draw (0-0) away against the struggling Banfield, while the visitors come after an important victory (3-1) at home against Newell’s Old Boys.

Independiente enters this game following a discouraging draw with a struggling Banfield. With an average of 64% ball possession and 8 shots, Independiente had complete control of the game from the start. However, none of these shots found the net, resulting in a scoreless tie. Independiente finished with 5 points after the first 5 rounds of the league, winning 1, drawing 2, and losing 2.

With 2 losses in the same two home games, Independiente has yet to score any points. Moreover, all of the goals conceded so far have occurred at home, with 4 goals allowed in 2 games. Independiente is also having trouble finding the net. With just 2 goals scored in 5 matches, they are one of the worst goal scoring teams.

Can Independiente finally make their first points at home?

Going into this matchup, Instituto comes from a win (3-1) against Newell's Old Boys, to regain momentum after a loss in round 4.

 In the first 5 rounds of the league, Instituto as 2 victories, 2 draws and just 1 loss, sitting 12th with 8 points

In this last match, Newell's Old Boys had total control of the game, with 73% ball possession, yet Instituto showed their efficiency in front of the goal with 3 goals in just 6 shots on goal. Instituto shows a lot of inconsistency. Despite having 5 goals in 5 rounds, they have scored in just 2 of the 5 games played so far.

On the other hand, they are a really compact team. In 5 matches, they have conceded just 3 goals, keeping a clean sheet in 3 of the 5 games played so far. Nonetheless, all of the 3 conceded goals were in the last 2 rounds.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams, Independiente showed a real advantage, with 4 wins and just 1 draw. Also, goals were scored in 4 of those 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per match.

Both teams show inconsistency and it’s hard to predict a winner, yet goals are to be expected in this game, due to the recent form of Independiente at home and Instituto goals scoring capability.