Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction: Teams Looking to Maximize the Goal Difference Element

In the upcoming fixture of the Uruguayan Primera Division, Matchday 5, Cerro Largo will take on Montevideo Wanderers at the Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla in Melo. Going in the matchup, Wanderers stands 2nd with 2 wins and 8 points from 4 matches played, whereas Cerro Largo stands 7th with 2 wins and a total of 8 points. If we closely take a look at the points table standings, 6 teams have the same number of wins and total points, but what’s different is the goal difference. With a positive goal difference of 3 goals, Wanderers stands 2nd. Hence, we can expect the Uruguayan fixtures to get more intense and interesting as the upcoming match days get lined up. The last time these two played against each other, the match ended in a draw (1-1).

Going in the matchup, Cerro Largo is coming off a draw against Fenix (0-0) and a win over Danubio (1-0). Cerro Largo has secured 2 wins and 2 draws from the last 4 matches played in the Division. Secondly, Cerro Largo has scored 3 goals in the last 5 matches played, averaging just 0.6 goals per game. In comparison to the scoring average, the conceding average is also 0.6 goals. Hence, Cerro Largo is likely to play with a very balanced approach and look to settle for a draw. However, much will depend on what the game demands and the on-field situation. In 22 matches played against Montevideo Wanderers, Cerro Largo has scored 19 goals at an average of 0.86 goals. Hence, scoring will be tough for Cerro against Montevideo.

• Mauro Brasil
• Tiago Galletto
• Hugo Silveira

With 2 wins and 3 drawn matches from the last 5 played, Montevideo Wanderers is progressing as unbeaten in the contest. In the last game against Liverpool FC, Diego Hernandez scored the opening goal in the 21st minute of play. However, Montevideo couldn’t control the scoring from the other end, and the match ended in a draw. Talking about the overall goal scoring averages, Montevideo has scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches, averaging around 1.6 goals per game. If Montevideo continues with the same scoring rate and average, we would observe a high scoring matchup. Secondly, Montevideo has just conceded 5 goals in the last five matches played, averaging 1 goal per game. Moreover, Montevideo averages 1.64 goals per game against Cerro, which is quite comprehensive and dominant. Hence, Montevideo is likely to stand tall against Cerro and win convincingly.

• Ramiro Costa
• Diego Hernandez
• Leonardo Pais

If we take a look at the previous head-to-head outings between the two, Montevideo Wanderers has registered three wins and a draw from five matches. Hence, Montevideo is likely to dominate Cerro once again. Secondly, the game total was over 2.5 in just 2 of the last 5 matches between the two. Hence, we could expect a high scoring event with both sides managing to score. I am predicting a score line of 1-2 or 1-3 at the end of 90 minutes of play.

• Montevideo Wanderers to Win for 3.20
• Both Teams to Score - Yes for 2.00
• Total Over 2.5 for 2.36