Envigado vs Independiente Medellin Prediction: Medellin Struggling to Secure Wins at the Start of the Season

In the upcoming fixture of the Colombia Categoria A, Matchday 4, Envigado will be up against Independiente Medellin at the Itagüí Metropolitan Stadium in Itagüí. Though teams try to start seasons on a high, Envigado and Medellin, both have struggled to convert leveling draws into wins. The head-to-head competition between Envigado and Medellin dates back to the early days of Colombia Primera A. The last time these two sides played was in September 2022 and Independiente Medellin won 1-2. Since December 2022 Independiente Medellin has kept its dominance against Envigado. 

In 38 matches played between the two, Independiente Medellin leads the win count (19-9), with 10 matches ending in a draw. There’s no doubt in Medellin’s sheer dominance over Envigado and the goal scoring averages. Independiente Medellin averages 1.74 goals per match against Envigado, whereas Envigado’s average against Medellin is just 1.05 goals per game. Hence, there’s a striking difference between the two side’s goal scoring averages and performances ultimately

Going in the game against Independiente Medellin, Envigado stands 11th in the points table with three draw fixtures. In its last game, it managed a draw over Union Magdalena (1-1), in which Luis Diaz scored the first goal in the 70th minute of play. Playing at home Envigado has performed reasonably well, as it has scored 2 or more goals in 5 of its last 10 home games. With a goal scoring average of 1.60 goals per game in home matches, Envigado is likely to net a goal at least against Independiente. For the upcoming game and the matches ahead, much will depend on the likes of Henry Mosquera, Ivo Kestler, and Jesus Vargas. 

Going in the game against Envigado, Medellin holds a serious win record, which is why Medellin will stand as favorites to win once again. Medellin is coming off a draw against Santa Fe (1-1), in which Luciano Pons scored the equalizer in the 73rd minute of play, saving the day for Medellin. Moving forward in the upcoming fixtures, Medellin will be relying on the likes of Cetre, Cambindo, Ricaurte, and Pons of course. Medellin’s goal-scoring average in away fixtures is a shade under 1.50 goals, however, the goal-conceding average is just 1.10 goals per game. Hence, Medellin will have to prepare a robust strategy against Envigado for winning.

The game form of the two sides is almost the same except for the fact that Medellin holds a better average and head-to-head record compared to Envigado. Moreover, Independiente Medellin has scored 2 or more goals in 6 of its last 10 away matches. Hence, I am predicting a win for Medellin and both teams to score. The final scoreline is likely to be 1-2 or even 1-3.

• Independiente Medellin to Win for 2.30
• Total Over 2.5 for 1.56
• Both Teams To Score - Yes for 2.05