Penarol vs America MG Prediction: America MG must win

Ahead of the last round, the situation in the group F table is tense. Defensa y Justicia has 12 points, second-placed Millonarios 10 and third-placed America MG 7 points. Only the Uruguayan Penarol long ago lost all chances to fight for passage to the next stage of the competition. This practically means that America MG can reach the second place in the table. For that, the guests will first need a victory against Penarol as well as a defeat of Millonarios against Argentinian Defensa. In the event of such an outcome, Millonarios and America MG would have the same number of points, and since the goal difference is the deciding factor, America MG will have a great imperative to triumph as convincingly as possible. By the way, currently Millonarios has a goal difference of 9-4, while America MG is slightly weaker with 10 goals scored and 7 goals conceded.

Form: DLLLL

Penarol don’t really have any competitive motives, so we don't expect too much resistance from them. They are in the last place without any point, 3 goals scored and 16 conceded. They also had a bad start of the season in domestic league and in 3 matches they have a draw and 2 defeats. They are winless in the last 6 matches and it’s hard to believe that they can make miracle in this match against motivated opponent.

Form: LLDWW

America MG were extremely convincing in the first match against Penarol, which is best shown by the 4:1 triumph. What can be a cause for concern for the visiting team is the fact that the defense is not working very well at the moment, considering that America MG has conceded as many as 7 goals in the previous three matches. The visitors could easily make up for that shortcoming with an offensive toward the opponent's goal from the first minute, so in our opinion, this is a match where there could very well be many goals. This is the match of the season for the Brazilian team as they are struggling in the domestic league and if they proceed to the next round it will be a big success for them.

It is clear that only victory suits the guests, and therefore we can expect them to attack the opponent's goal from the first minute. The offensive qualities that America MG possesses are not in question, but their defense is currently their weak point, so one goal in the Brazilian team's net will not surprise us even despite the terrible form of Penarol. All in all, we "smell" goals in this match. America MG will try to do their part, but at the same time, they will "listen" to the result from Argentina.