Ecuador vs Venezuela: The Ecuadorians will remain in the third place

Ecuador will play Venezuela in round 13 of South American FIFA World Cup 2022 qualifying. The hosts are widely regarded as the favourites to win the title. The Venezuelans have no chance of even finishing fifth, while Ecuador are close to qualifying for the Mundial directly.

To start with, Ecuador have 17 points, the third-best in the table after Brazil and Argentina. The Ecuadorians have played three official matches in October. They beat Bolivia 3-0 at home, lost 1-2 away to Venezuela, and played a 0-0 draw with Colombia. The defeat against Venezuela a month ago indicates that all is not clear-cut in the upcoming game. On the other hand, though, Ecuador are a home team, and that can be put down to that failure. The home statistics of Ecuador are third in the peloton, +4=1-1, 16:6 goal difference.

The Venezuelans are struggling on the home field. In October, they defeated Ecuador, scored against Brazilians, Argentina, and lost only minimally to Peru. Still, the results of this national team are much worse, and Venezuela’s motivation is poor. Before the 13th round, Ecuador are in 10th position with 7 points and 9 points behind fifth-placed Uruguay.

Ecuador have no right to lose points against Venezuela. The visitors have no tournament motivation, and the away statistics show that the Ecuadorians have a great chance of picking up three points that will keep this team in the top 3 of South America. That said, we doubt that the game itself will be goal-rich. We offer the following odds: W1+Total Under (3.5) for 1.92, Total Under (2) for 3.50, correct score 2:0 for 5.50.