Hamburg vs Freiburg: Will the 11-meter shoot-out decide a trip to the final?

Freiburg will take on Hamburg in the German Cup semi-final. It should be remembered that the teams represent different divisions this season. It is logical that bookmakers, despite the fielding factor, favor Freiburg, one of the contenders for a place in the Champions League zone.

We don't follow the Bundesliga 2 as closely as the elite German division, so we'll pay more attention to stats than to feel. After the international break, Hamburg played four games in the Bundesliga 2, winning two and losing two of them. The defeats came in the games against Paderborn and Holstein, the victories over Erzgebirge Aue and Karlsruhe, with both victories being big and too nil. It's a mixed bag of statistics that leaves Hamburg just sixth in their division's standings. Four rounds before the end of the championship, they are five points behind St. Pauli, very much so considering the number of matches remaining. There is no doubt that the German Cup is the main tournament for the hosts for the rest of the season.

As for Freiburg, it is hard to say what is more important for the Brazilians at the moment: the Bundesliga or the German Cup. On the one hand, winning the trophy is an honorable thing for the ages. On the other hand, the Europa League is not so much in the Brazilians' pocket, but it is very likely to be won through the championship. And given the tournament position of Streich's team, the future guests have good chances for the fourth place, i.e. for the position in the Champions League zone, because the lag from Bayer is only one point. It should be noted that at the Bundesliga level, Freiburg have the fourth away statistics, 6 wins in 15 games with 40 defeats and a goal difference of 21:16. The current form of the Brazilians is very decent, after a devastating defeat to Bayern, Freiburg were stronger than Eintracht and Bochum, allowing the future visitors to come close to the Champions League zone.

Hamburg have lost only twice at home in the Bundesliga 2 and have the third-highest home statistics in the division, which speaks in favor of betting on the hosts. Freiburg perform well on the road, but still, the away statistics of the Brazilians are worse than the home figures of the Northerners. However, a correction must be made for the level of the tournament. Freiburg do not have two squads, and now Streich will have to play on two fronts, which is unusual for this team. We believe that the visitors will not be able to get a win on Tuesday in regulation time. First bet on the match Hamburg vs Freiburg: 1X for 1.57.

The higher level of Freiburg will probably affect the result and the Brazilians, despite the field factor, will not lose on Tuesday. But we doubt Freiburg can win, at least in regulation time. Our second bet for the first leg of the German Cup semi-final is to bet on a draw for 3.50.

We'll also opt for the penalty shootout. We reckon that the fate of a ticket to the final of the second most important German football tournament will be decided in a penalty shootout. 22bet gives 6.60 for such an outcome.

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