NK Celje vs NK Radomlje Prediction: A win for the home side is expected

Celje and Rdomlje are going to square off in a match that will take place in Stadion Z'dežele in Celje on Sunday, March 17th 2024 at 17:00 (GMT+3), and it will be a struggle that is felt well beyond its boundaries. With a pre-match points per game of 2.45 compared to Radomlje's 1.00, Celje is entering this game on a high note and represents a significant momentum differential that should not be disregarded.

Looking more closely, goal expectation (xG) highlights Celje's attacking strength at home, with an average xG of 1.87 against Radomlje's worse 1.46 xG away from home. Celje's lower xG against (1.14) at home, which hints at a fairly strong defensive record, further emphasizes the likely situation where Celje's assault might prove too much for Maribor's defence.

This game promises to be very cagey, hence a precautional approach should be taken to avoid a straight win or loss for either side. 

Celje has participated in 24 games in this Prva Liga season, with 17 victories, 3 defeats, and 4 ties. Celje, which has won 71% of its matches and lost 13%, is positioned steadily in the centre of the Prva Liga standings. With an average of 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals allowed per game. This indicates stability.

The club has scored 53 goals so far this season, with the second half seeing the most efficiency with 60% of the goals scored. Celje scores 2.3 goals on average when playing at home; on the road, they score 2.1 goals. The defence is still playing well for the club, giving up a total of eighteen goals. The club faced its worst defensive problems in the second half, giving up 72% of the goals scored.

Celje gives up 0.7 goals on average when playing at home. This amount rises to 0.8 goals per game when playing away.

After losing to Rogaska 1-0 in the PrvaLiga the previous time out, Radomlje won't want to replicate their previous performance again. Lately, Radomlje has had trouble breaking through defences. In their past six games, they have only scored three goals against other teams. Radomlje has also had a total of seven goals scored against them in their encounters. But that kind of tendency won't necessarily carry over into the upcoming game.

Radomlje has won five of the last ten games, lost four, and played to a draw one. Five of Radomlje's past ten games have seen over 2.5 goals, and the remaining five have seen under 2.5 goals. In the last ten games, Radomlje has scored 12 goals. Radomlje has been able to score one goal per game on average. Radomlje has also let up ten goals over that time. This means that we give up one goal on average every game. Radomlje has won once, lost six times, and drawn three times in their previous ten home games.

In their previous 17 road games, Radomlje has drawn eight of them. Two of the last six times they've played Celje has drawn two of their last four games. Celje's last game against O. Ljubljana ended in a 1-1 draw while Maribor's last away game ended in a 0-0 draw with Rogaska.

Maribor should be able to score against this Celje team, but it may not be enough to avoid losing. The expected score for this game is 3-1 or 4-1 win for Celje .