Borussia Dortmund vs Chelsea Prediction: Expect a Total Over

Borussia Dortmund will face Chelsea from London in the first leg of the Champions League round of 16. The Germans are quoted as the slight favorites of the meeting.

In 2023, Borussia played six official matches: five in the Bundesliga and one in the German Cup, winning 100%. The Bundesliga side has moved to third place in the German Bundesliga standings and is three points closer to leading Bayern, which means Borussia Dortmund is back in the championship race. Borussia is okay with their current form and considering Chelsea's instability, we won't be surprised if the Germans find themselves in the quarterfinals of the Champions League. Recall that Borussia played in the group stage of the Champions League in Group G, where they took second place, losing the championship to Manchester City. The Germans have nine points in six games, four more than Sevilla and six more than Copenhagen. Borussia has a 3:0 home win over the Danes and draws with the Spaniards and the English. In the Bundesliga, they have one of the best home stats with 78% wins and one loss in nine games.

In the English league, the Blues sit in only 10th place, eight points behind Tottenham, who are in the European Cup competition. In other words, Chelsea's situation in the domestic arena is complex. It's even surprising how Graham Potter holds his position with such results. The Aristocrats entered the match against Borussia Dortmund with three consecutive draws in the EPL against Liverpool, Fulham, and West Ham. Chelsea's away statistics in the EPL are eighth, with the Londoners having five defeats in 12 matches. In contrast, in the Champions League group stage, the Blues have won two away matches out of three, losing only to Dinamo Zagreb. It may well happen that for Chelsea, the Champions League will be the last chance to clinch a place in the European competitions for the next season and the opportunity to save the current season.

Borussia Dortmund is on the move, in contrast to Chelsea. For example, in the match against West Ham, the Aristocrats' xG index was only 0.90, ending in a 1:1 draw. The motivation of the English is at a high level, the Champions League may be the last chance for future guests to save the season, but you can't go far on motivation alone when you have problems with energy. Borussia has scored at least two goals per game in every match in 2023. The two goals scored by the Bumblebees on Wednesday will be enough for the final victory in the first match of the round of 16 of the Champions League.